Oct 31, 2021, 4:41 pm ET in NFL
Read Time: 4 min

Expert Top Pick of the Day: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints

NFL Betting Picks Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints

For Sunday afternoon, the NFL has brought a special matchup between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the New Orleans Saints. This is a game for the division lead and brings together two teams that always offer a lot of excitement.

The Buccaneers face the Saints after knocking them out of the playoffs last year and finishing an impressive previous season run as Super Bowl winners. This is a new New Orleans team, though, and, with a different mindset coming into this game, QB Tom Brady will have to face QB Jameis Winston in this matchup that appears to be a passing versus rushing game. 

Brady has accumulated 2,275 yards this season, coming in what appears to be the best season of his career. Despite his age and years in the NFL, he has led his team to a 6-1 record and looks on track for the playoffs once again. 

On the other side, Winston has come a long way with the Saints. Since taking leadership of the team, he has racked up 1,114 yards, leading the team to a 4-2 record with losses only to the New York Giants and the Carolina Panthers early in the season.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints Schedule

  • Date: Sunday, October 31
  • Time: 2:25 PM CT
  • Location: Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA
  • Twitter

Tampa Express

Brady and the Bucs are the new show in town, and they are playing as a visitor against the Saints this weekend. The Bucs are 10-1 in their last 11 games playing outside but have also accumulated four losses against the Saints in their previous five games since 2019. One of TB-12’s favorite weapons on offense this year has been WR Chris Godwin, who already has 520 yards in the air with three touchdowns. 

This Sunday, the new power duo is looking to convert more passes into touchdowns and take advantage of their abilities against the Saints. In the defense department, LB Devin White has 51 tackles this season so far, and LB Shaquil Barrett has 26 tackles, 5.5 sacks, and one interception, showing how versatile Tampa Bay can be on the defensive end, too.

Saints Ground and Pound

There hasn’t been a secret ingredient to the Saints plan early this season, but Winston has deposited all his trust in one, if not the top, star on the offense, RB Alvin Kamara. The ground game has been nothing but dominating due to Kamara, currently ranked third for rushing attempts with 114 for 419 yards. 

The Saints have a rushing yard differential of almost 40 yards over their opponents, which shows the plan when the plays are called today. Regardless of what the Bucs have shown against the Saints in recent history, the Saints currently hold an 8-3 in their last 11 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints Odds Comparison

The Bucs are dominating their division over the next in line. The Saints, in their last 13 games playing against an opponent from the NFC South, have seen the total go over in 11 of those games. In their last six matchups, the Bucs are 1-5 straight up against the Saints, but 10-1 in their last 11 on the road. Against the spread (ATS), they’re 5-14-1 when playing in October, and the Saints, on the other hand, are 7-3 straight up in their last ten at home and 1-4 ATS in October. 

  • DraftKings has Tampa Bay -210 to win on a -4.5-point spread and an Over/Under 48.5.
  • FanDuel has Tampa Bay -230 to win on a -4.5-point spread and an Over/Under 48.5.
  • Caesars has Tampa Bay at -220 with a -4.5-point spread and an Over/Under 48.5.

Godds Pick or Prediction of the Game

The Bucs are running the show, and Brady appears to be playing at his best against all odds and what-ifs. Even with WR Antonio Brown out and TE Rob Gronkowski a game-time decision, the team possesses a very powerful offense that finds its way to putting points on the scoreboard.

Godds Pick/Prediction: Tampa Bay to win the game, and the total stays under.