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May 16, 2024, 11:54 am ET in NBA
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Nuggets vs Timberwolves Prediction: Key Game Facts

Do-or-die night in Minnesota! The Timberwolves host the Denver Nuggets in a critical Game 6 on Thursday (8:30 PM ET). Despite trailing 3-2 in the series, the T-Wolves are favored by 2 points at home, desperate to force a Game 7. The pressure is on Karl-Anthony Towns and company to overcome the Nuggets’ Nikola Jokic, who dominated in the last game. With the over/under set at 203.5 points, expect a close and potentially high-scoring battle. Our Timberwolves vs Nuggets prediction awaits to see if Minnesota can extend the series!

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Prediction Odds

BET DEN MIN
Moneyline +110 -132
Spread +2 -2
Total 203.5

Game Information

  • Game: Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
  • Venue: Target Center, Minneapolis MN
  • Date: Thursday, May 16th 8:30 ET
  • Free Live Stream: LiveSports.watch

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Betting Prediction

The Nuggets picked up a 112-97 win in the most recent game of this series, covering the spread as 4.5-point favorites. Denver had a big third quarter, outscoring the Timberwolves 38-30. Heading into the game, the over/under betting line was at 206 points, and the teams combined to score 209 points, just surpassing the line. Denver shot the ball well, hitting 55% of their shots from the field, although they made just nine threes. Nikola Jokic had a standout performance, finishing with 40 points, 13 assists, and seven rebounds. For the Timberwolves, Karl-Anthony Towns scored 23 points, and Rudy Gobert contributed 18 points and 11 rebounds.

Denver Nuggets

In their last game, the Nuggets beat the Timberwolves 112-97, improving to 57-25 and 2nd in the Western Conference. As underdogs, the Nuggets have a +0.3 point scoring differential. Today’s O/U line of 203.5 is their lowest this season. On the road, Denver has a +1.4 point scoring differential and a 27-18 record, winning their last two road games. Against the spread, the Nuggets are 43-47, covering in their last three games, with a 20-24 ATS record on the road. Their O/U record is 38-52-2, with the over hitting in their last three games.

The Nuggets are the 4th best shooting team, hitting 49% of their shots, with a 56% two-point field goal percentage, 7th in the NBA rankings. Despite this, they rank last in three-point attempts and 25th in makes. Nikola Jokic averages 29.4 points, 10.4 rebounds, and 9.2 assists over his last five games, shooting 53.8%. Jamal Murray may miss the game due to a calf injury; he averaged 16.8 points and 4.6 assists in his last five games. Aaron Gordon hit 61.5% of his threes in his last five games, averaging 17.4 points. Defensively, the Nuggets are 6th in points allowed at 109.0 per game and 2nd in three-point shooting percentage allowed at 35.1%. Over their last five games, they allowed just 101.2 points per game. Timberwolves vs Nuggets Prediction: Strong NBA team stats and solid defense favor Denver.

Minnesota Timberwolves

In Minnesota’s last game against the Nuggets, they lost 112-97, dropping their overall record to 56-26, currently 3rd in the Western Conference. At home, the Timberwolves are 32-13 this season and are favored by 2 points in today’s game. However, they have lost their last two games against the spread at home. Minnesota has an average scoring differential of +7.6 points per game at home, with their games averaging 218.8 points per game. Today’s O/U line is 203.5, and their O/U record for the season is 48-43. Against the spread, Minnesota is 20-25 at home and 46-44 overall. As the favorite, they are 31-35 ATS, having been favored in 67 of their 82 games. The Timberwolves’ O/U streak is at three games, and their games have averaged 219.9 points per game this season. In their last game against Denver, the O/U line was 206 points.

The Timberwolves are the NBA’s 18th-ranked scoring offense, averaging 113 points per game. They have hit 38% of their three-point attempts, the 2nd best in the league, but are just 17th in three-point makes at 12.6 per game. Anthony Edwards has been carrying the offense, averaging 30.2 points per game over his last five games, hitting 56.4% of his shots. Karl-Anthony Towns is averaging 19.4 points per game in his last five games and 21.8 for the season, along with 8.3 rebounds per game. Defensively, allowing just 106.3 points per game, even better at home at 103.8 points per contest. Over their last five games, Minnesota’s defense ranks 7th, giving up 104.6 points per game and excelling at defending two-point shots, ranking 9th. Opponents have NBA scored less than their season average in 80.5% of their games against the Timberwolves, making fewer threes in 78.0% of those games.

Betting Picks

  • OU Over 203.5 -110
  • ML: Timberwolves -132
  • ATS: Timberwolves -2

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