Brewers vs Pirates Prediction: NL Showdown

At PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA, the Pirates are set to host the Brewers in an NL Central showdown. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 PM and the game will be televised on BSWI. The current over/under line is set at 8 runs, with the over paying out at +100 and the under at -120.

Jared Jones will take the mound for the Pirates, while Joe Ross will get the start for the Brewers. The Pirates are currently favored on the money line, sitting at -128 compared to the Brewers at +108.

Betting Preview

Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee enters today’s MLB matchup with the Pirates on a high, having secured four consecutive wins. They currently top the NL Central, holding a two-game lead over the Cubs. This season, the Brewers have compiled a 14-6 record, including a 5-1 tally against NL Central opponents. Their recent four-game winning streak concluded with a sweep against the Cardinals. Impressively, the Brewers have thrived as underdogs, boasting an 8-3 record in those games.

At home, the Brewers are just 4-4 compared to 10-2 on the road. They have also been really good in day games, going 9-2. Looking at their overall series record, the Brewers are 5-1-1 and have won four straight series games on the road.

Heading into their last game vs. the Cardinals, the Brewers closed out the series with a 2-0 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at +139 on the money line. Offensively, the Brewers only had six hits but scored just two runs. Both of their runs came in the 7th inning.

Colin Rea got the start for the Brewers, going five innings, and didn’t give up a run. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and got the win. Brice Turang and Willy Adames each had two hits. Turang scored a run and Adames had a double.

In this MLB betting lines overview, the Milwaukee Brewers have had the over/under line set at 8 runs in 14 of their 20 games this season. Their games have averaged a total of 9.6 runs, resulting in an over/under record of 13-7. Interestingly, in the single game where the line was exactly 8 runs, the Brewers did not cover, marking a record of 0-1. Notably, 70% of their games have featured an over/under line higher than 8 runs, highlighting a trend toward higher-scoring games for the Brewers this season.

Brewers’ Run Line Success and Joe Ross’s Start

The Brewers have a run differential of +1.8 runs per game this season, and their run line record is 10-10. They have been a good bet on the run line on the road, going 9-3, and they have covered the run line in two straight games. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 8-3 against the run line, compared to just 2-7 as the favorite.

Joe Ross will be making his 4th start of the season for the Brewers, and he will be on the road against the Pirates. Ross has a win and a loss so far this season and is coming off a start in which he took the loss against the Padres. In that outing, he went 4 2/3 innings, giving up 6 hits, 4 earned runs, and striking out 9.

The Milwaukee Brewers have been one of the top offensive teams in the league this season, ranking 3rd in runs per game with 5.7. Their hitting has been especially strong on the road, where they lead the league in runs per game at 6.7.

Their batting average of .275 is 2nd in the league, and their OBP, SLG, and OPS are all in the top 3. William Contreras has been their best hitter this season, leading the team in batting average and RBI. The Brewers have a few players on hitting streaks, including Christian Yelich, Willy Adames, and Blake Perkins, who have all hit safely in their last 4 games.

Pittsburgh Pirates

Today, Pittsburgh aims to improve their season record in this MLB team stats spotlight, as they come into the game with an 11-11 record, looking to climb above .500. The Pirates are eager to break a six-game losing streak, which saw them drop the last three games against the Mets and the first three against the Red Sox in recent series. Currently positioned 4th in the NL Central, the Pirates find themselves four games behind the division-leading Brewers, highlighting their urgent need for a turnaround in performance.

As the favorite, the Pirates are 2-5 this season, and they have lost four straight games as the favorite. When they are the underdog, Pittsburgh is 9-6. At home, the Pirates are 3-5 compared to 8-6 on the road. So far, they have gone 0-0 in games against other teams in the NL Central.

The Pirates will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Red Sox with a 6-1 loss. This was especially tough, as it was their third straight loss. Pittsburgh was the -155 favorite at home going into the game but fell behind early, as the Red Sox scored two runs in the 3rd.

Martin Perez got the start for the Pirates and took the loss. He only lasted four innings, giving up four earned runs on six hits. The Pirates also issued four walks in thejson to go along with their six hits.

The Pirates have gone over the total in 12 of their 22 games this season, and the average combined run total in their games is 8.9. Their over/under record is 12-10, and the average over/under line in their games is 8. The over/under line for today’s game against the Brewers is 8 runs.

Pirates’ Run Line Trends and Jared Jones’ Start

When the Pirates win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.3. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.5. They have a run line record of 12-10, with a run line record of 9-5 on the road. They have lost their last four run line bets at home, and they are 10-5 against the run line as an underdog.

Jared Jones will be making his 4th start of the season and is still looking for his first win. In his last outing, he went 5 innings and did not allow a run. He has been able to rack up the strikeouts, as he has 22 K’s in 16 innings of work.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have been struggling to score runs at home, averaging just 3.0 runs per game, which ranks 25th in the league. However, their offense has been more productive on the road, where they are averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is 9th in the league.

Their batting average of .239 is average, but their strikeout rate of 9 per game is 23rd in the league. On the positive side, they are 3rd in the league in walks. Looking at the Pirates’ top hitters for the season, Bryan Reynolds is hitting .264 with a .373 OBP, 2 home runs, and 13 RBI. Oneil Cruz has 3 home runs and 6 RBI, while Connor Joe has a .286 average and 12 RBI. Jack Suwinski is on a 2-game hitting streak.

Betting Picks

• OU Over 8 +100
• ML: Pirates -128
• ATS: Brewers +1.5

Brewers vs Pirates Odds

• ML: MIL +108 | PIT -128
• RUN LINE: MIL +1.5 | PIT -1.5
• TOTAL: 8

Brewers vs Pirates Game Information

• Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
• PNC Park, Pittsburgh
• Need Written Date 6:40 ET
• Free Live Stream: LiveSports.watch

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