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Mar 8, 2024, 6:43 am ET in NBA
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Heat vs Thunder Prediction: Miami Battles the Power of OKC!

Tonight at 8:00 ET, the stage is set at Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, for an electrifying clash. The Miami Heat (35-27), holding the 6th spot in the Eastern Conference, are gearing up to challenge the Oklahoma City Thunder (43-19), the formidable 2nd in the West. With the Thunder favored by 8.5 points in NBA odds today, anticipation skyrockets. This non-conference matchup promises heart-pounding action and strategic gameplay. Who will seize victory? Stay tuned for our Heat vs Thunder prediction.

Heat vs Thunder Betting Prediction

Miami Heat

Miami is 29-30 ATS this season, and they have failed to cover the spread in their last three NBA scores and matchups. On the road, the Heat are 17-12 ATS compared to 12-18 ATS at home. As the underdog, Miami is 10-17 straight-up and 14-13 vs. the spread. Today, they are 8.5-point underdogs and have gone 2-8 as the underdog in their last 10 games.

Miami’s O/U record for the season is 24-38, and 34 of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s line of 223.5. This year, their games have averaged 220.7 points per game. In their last game, the Heat lost to the Mavericks by a score of 114-108. Miami was getting 4.5 points in that game and the O/U line was 230 points.

In the Eastern Conference NBA standings, the Heat are currently in 6th place with a record of 35-27. Against other Eastern Conference teams, they are 23-16 compared to 12-11 in non-conference games.

The Heat are 27th in the NBA in scoring at 110.7 points per game. When playing on the road, they are averaging 107.9 points per game.

So far this season, the Heat have outscored the NBA scores average in just 35.5% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 29th in the league at 96.2 possessions per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, Miami is 6th in the NBA at 37%. Overall, they are 23rd in field goal percentage at 46%.

So far this season, the Miami Heat defense has been one of the best in the league, ranking 6th in points allowed per game at 110.0. On the road, they have been even better, leading the league at just 107.0 points per game allowed.

Throughout the season, Miami has done a good job of holding opponents below their season average, allowing opponents to score less than their season average in 71.0% of their games. In terms of three-point shooting, opponents have made more threes than their season average in 54.8% of their games vs. the Heat.

On the glass, Miami has struggled, ranking just 25th in rebounds per game. They are also near the bottom of the league in blocked shots at 30th. Considering all these stats of this Heat vs Thunder prediction is very important before placing your final bets.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Today, the Thunder are looking for their 8th straight home win as they host the Heat. In the Western Conference, the Thunder are 2nd with a record of 43-19.

Oklahoma City’s ATS record at home is 21-9, and they are favored by 8.5 points today. Their ATS record as the favorite is 28-18, and they have gone 34-12 straight-up as the favorite in the NBA betting lines.

For the season, the Thunder have an average scoring differential of +11.8 points per game at home. In their last game, they beat the Trail Blazers 128-120, covering the spread as 13-point favorites.

The Thunder’s O/U record for the season is 34-27-1, and their games have averaged 234.4 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 223.5, with 58 of their games having higher O/U lines.

When playing at home, the Thunder are the 2nd highest-scoring team in the NBA team stats, at 123.6 points per game. Overall, they are 2nd in the league in scoring at 121 points per game. In terms of pace, Oklahoma City is 11th in the NBA.

So far this season, the Thunder have outscored the NBA scoring average in 69.4% of their games. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 2nd in the league at 50%. They are also 1st in the NBA in true shooting percentage.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Thunder are 1st in three-point percentage at 39%. In terms of three-point attempts, they are 16th in the NBA. At home, Oklahoma City averages 18.2 free throw attempts per game.

Coming into tonight’s Heat vs Thunder prediction, the Thunder are giving up 113.4 points per game, which is 13th in the NBA. Over their last five games, they have allowed 114.6 points per game, which is 20th in the league over that span. This season, opponents have made 61.3% of their three-point attempts against OKC, which is 26th in the NBA.

On the season, the Thunder are 13th in the NBA in defensive rebounds and 1st in blocked shots. In terms of personal fouls, they are 12th in the league. Over their last five games, opponents have made 39.2% of their three-point attempts against OKC.

For the season, opponents have scored more than their season average 45.2% of the time against the Thunder. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, OKC is 3rd in the NBA at 45.4%. OKC Thunder is one of the teams that will steal the spotlight in the NBA playoffs.

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Betting Picks

  • OU Over 223.5 -111
  • ML: Heat +277
  • ATS: Heat +8.5

Heat vs Thunder Odds Prediction

  • ML: MIA +277 | OKC -349
  • SPREAD: MIA +8.5 | OKC -8.5
  • TOTAL: 223.5

Heat vs Thunder Game Information

  • Miami Heat vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Paycom Center, Oklahoma City OK
  • Friday, March 8th 8:00 ET

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