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Mar 4, 2024, 8:02 am ET in NCAAB Betting News
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Texas vs Baylor Prediction: Picks for a High-Stakes Big 12 Matchup

Tonight at 9:00 ET, excitement unfolds around NCAAB scores and matchups. The Bears host the Longhorns at Foster Pavilion, Waco, TX. This Big 12 conference game sparks intrigue. Additionally, an over/under of 146 points sets the stage. Interestingly, Baylor, favored by -7, aims to dominate at home. Indeed, this matchup promises intense competition. So, who will claim victory? Our expert Texas vs Baylor prediction delves deep. So, stay tuned and don’t miss any detail.

Texas vs Baylor Betting Prediction

Texas Longhorns

With a 19-10 record, the Texas Longhorns are 8-8 in the Big 12 this season. They have won two consecutive games and come into this game as a seven-point underdog. On the road, Texas has gone 5-5, and their average college basketball scores margin is -3.6.

Last game out, the Longhorns beat Oklahoma State by a score of 81-65. Over their last 10 road games, they have gone 5-5. On the season, Texas has been the underdog in 10 games, going 4-6.

As the underdog this season, Texas has gone 5-5 vs. the spread. On the road, the Longhorns are 4-6 ATS this year and they have gone 1-2 vs. the spread in their last three road games.

Today’s over/under line of 146 is similar to the average over/under line in Texas’ games this season (144.5). So far, 14 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0.

In their recent matchup, the Texas offense ended with 81 points against Oklahoma State. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 47.1% and made 9 threes. For the season, the Texas offense has been one of the more efficient shooting teams in the NCAA with a field goal percentage of 47%. So far, they have hit 52% of their looks from inside the arc, and are averaging 7.4 made three’s per contest.

At present, the Longhorns’ defense is 82nd in national NCAAB rankings, allowing 68.4 points per game. Against Oklahoma State in their most recent game, the Texas defense gave up a total of 65 points while allowing Oklahoma State to hit 47% of their shots.

Baylor Bears

At home this season, Baylor has been dominant, going 15-1 with an average scoring margin of +18.1 points per game. Their current win streak at home is four games, and over their last 10 home games, they are 8-2.

Overall, the Bears have been favored in 20 of their 29 games, going 18-2 in those matchups. They are coming off an 82-74 win over Kansas and have won two straight games.

As the favorite in the college basketball odds today, Baylor has been solid vs. the spread this year, going 13-6-1. At home, they have an ATS mark of 11-4-1. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Bears are 6-3-1 vs. the spread.

Over their last three games, the over/under record for Baylor is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 143 points. So far this season, their over/under record is 14-13. On average, their games have finished with 151.8 points compared to an average over/under line of 148 points, a difference of 3.8 points. Today’s over/under line of 146 is lower than the average OU line in their games this year.

Coming off their recent game, the Baylor offense tallied 82 points in a matchup against Kansas. Their field goal percentage for the game was 55.6%, and they made 7 threes. Leading Baylor in scoring vs. Kansas was RayJ Dennis with his 19 points. Jayden Nunn also added 18 points for the Bears, remarking their excellent NCAAB player stats.

At present, the Bears’ defense is nationally ranked 132nd, allowing 70.9 points per game. The Baylor defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 74 points and allowed Kansas to connect on 7 threes.

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Betting Picks

  • OU Under 146 -108
  • ML: Bears -296
  • ATS: Longhorns +7

Texas vs Baylor Odds Prediction

  • ML: TX +233 | BAYL -296
  • SPREAD: TX +7 | BAYL -7
  • TOTAL: 146

Texas vs Baylor Game Information

  • Texas vs. Baylor
  • Foster Pavilion, Waco TX
  • Monday, March 4th 9:00 ET

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