Rockies +167 at Nationals: Fade the banged-up Nats

The God of Odds likes the Colorado Rockies on the moneyline at +167, and BetOnline.ag is the place to hammer it. Washington is a mess right now, and the price is too high for a team that can't stay healthy.

The Nationals have lost 8 of their last 10 games, and their pitching staff is in shambles. Four key arms are out or doubtful, including starters Tyler Stuart and Travis Sykora, plus relievers Joan Adon and Jarlin Susana. That's a huge chunk of their rotation and bullpen, and it shows in their 5.1 runs allowed per game. Meanwhile, the Rockies, despite a rough overall record, are 4-5 in their last 5 and just took a game from Washington in their last series, winning 8-7 on July 22.

Colorado's ERA is 5.53, which is ugly, but they're scoring 4.8 runs per game, and they've shown they can hang with the Nats. Washington's ERA is 4.67, but with their rotation in shambles, that number is about to get worse. The Rockies are 11-22 on the moneyline this year, but that's mostly because they've been overmatched. This is a spot where the underdog has a real chance, and the books are still pricing Washington like they're healthy.

The line movement tells the story: Washington opened at -180 and has been bet up to -186, but that's sharp money chasing a team that's clearly compromised. The value is on the other side. At +167, you're getting a plus price on a team that just beat these same Nationals less than a month ago, and you're fading a club that's lost 8 of 10.

BetOnline.ag is offering the best price on Colorado at +167, which is better than the +165 at BetUS and way better than the +158 at Bovada. That's a full 9 cents of extra value on a moneyline dog, and in a sport where variance is king, every cent counts. Lock in the Rockies at +167 and let the Nats' injuries do the rest.