LOSS - New York Mets moneyline
Final: New York Mets 0, Pittsburgh Pirates 9
-1.00u
Profit
❌ Mets +110: Pirates Shutout Ends Our Streak
Godds Pick
New York Mets ML
Moneyline · Best odds: +110 at BetUS
The Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings against the Pirates, and Pittsburgh has lost 8 of their last 10. Sharp money has moved the ML from -131 to -121, signaling value on New York at +109. BetUS offers the best price at +110.
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Pick Missed
Final: New York Mets 0, Pittsburgh Pirates 9 • New York Mets moneyline ML
-1.00u
🔍 Why It Missed
The Mets' offense completely disappeared, managing no runs against a Pirates team that had been struggling. The line movement and recent form suggested value, but Pittsburgh's pitching shut down New York, proving that fading a desperate team can backfire.
Post-Game Analysis
❌ LOSS. The New York Mets got shut out 9-0 by the Pittsburgh Pirates, and our +110 moneyline pick went down in flames.
The Pirates looked dead in the water coming in, losers of 8 of their last 10. But they flipped the script completely. Pittsburgh's starter dominated, and the Mets' bats went silent. We trusted the Mets' recent 8-2 surge and the line movement, but that momentum evaporated against a desperate team playing at home. The market had the Mets as slight dogs, and the odds suggested value, but value doesn't matter when you score zero runs.
This loss stings because it was a 3/5 confidence play, not a slam dunk. The lesson: recent form can be a mirage, especially when a team like Pittsburgh is due for a bounce-back. We'll be more cautious with fading teams on losing streaks, especially when the public is on the other side. BetUS had the best number, but the result is what counts. On to the next one.
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All Picks & Record →Pre-Game Analysis
The God of Odds likes New York Mets on the moneyline at +110, and BetUS is the place to hammer it. Pittsburgh looks like a fading team, and the market is finally catching up. This is a classic underdog spot where the numbers and the line movement agree.
The Pirates are 57-61 and just 29-29 at home, but their recent form is ugly. They've lost 8 of their last 10, and their last five games are a string of L's with just one win. Meanwhile, the Mets have flipped a switch, going 8-2 in their last 10 with four straight wins. They're scoring 4.2 per game while allowing 4.5, and their ERA sits at 4.09, slightly better than Pittsburgh's 4.32.
Head-to-head, the Mets own the Pirates. In the last five meetings, New York has taken three, including an 11-7 blowout and a 4-2 win back in March. Pittsburgh's bullpen is hurting with Chris Devenski and Oddanier Mosqueda both out, while the Mets lose Mike Tauchman, Robert Stock, and Grae Kessinger, but their core remains intact. The Pirates are also just 31-28 on the moneyline, and they've covered only 44% of the time against the spread.
The sharp money is on New York. The moneyline has moved from -131 to -121, meaning the public is on Pittsburgh but the smart money is on the Mets. At +109, you're getting a team that's hotter, healthier in key spots, and has owned this matchup. This is a fade of a mediocre favorite and a play on a dog that's peaking at the right time.
BetUS has the best price at +110, a full tick better than Bovada's +104. Why take less when you can get more? The Mets are the play, and BetUS is the book. Lock it in before the line tightens further.
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Odds Comparison
Odds as of Aug 8, 11:31 AM ET — lines may have moved
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