Mets vs Pirates: New York at +110 is the sharp side Saturday

The God of Odds likes New York Mets on the moneyline at +110, and BetUS is the place to hammer it. Pittsburgh looks like a fading team, and the market is finally catching up. This is a classic underdog spot where the numbers and the line movement agree.

The Pirates are 57-61 and just 29-29 at home, but their recent form is ugly. They've lost 8 of their last 10, and their last five games are a string of L's with just one win. Meanwhile, the Mets have flipped a switch, going 8-2 in their last 10 with four straight wins. They're scoring 4.2 per game while allowing 4.5, and their ERA sits at 4.09, slightly better than Pittsburgh's 4.32.

Head-to-head, the Mets own the Pirates. In the last five meetings, New York has taken three, including an 11-7 blowout and a 4-2 win back in March. Pittsburgh's bullpen is hurting with Chris Devenski and Oddanier Mosqueda both out, while the Mets lose Mike Tauchman, Robert Stock, and Grae Kessinger, but their core remains intact. The Pirates are also just 31-28 on the moneyline, and they've covered only 44% of the time against the spread.

The sharp money is on New York. The moneyline has moved from -131 to -121, meaning the public is on Pittsburgh but the smart money is on the Mets. At +109, you're getting a team that's hotter, healthier in key spots, and has owned this matchup. This is a fade of a mediocre favorite and a play on a dog that's peaking at the right time.

BetUS has the best price at +110, a full tick better than Bovada's +104. Why take less when you can get more? The Mets are the play, and BetUS is the book. Lock it in before the line tightens further.