Nationals +105 at Mets: The road team is the sharp play tonight

The God of Odds likes the Washington Nationals on the moneyline at +105, and BetOnline.ag is the place to hammer it. This is a classic fade the favorite spot, and the numbers back it up.

The Nationals are 33-27 on the road, a solid mark that shows they travel well. They've taken 3 of the last 5 from the Mets, including a 14-2 beatdown in April. Meanwhile, the Mets are just 20-31 on the moneyline overall and have lost 4 of their last 6. Their home record sits at 25-34, which is nothing to write home about.

Scoring matters, and Washington puts up 5.4 runs per game while allowing 5.2. That's a team that can outslug you. The Mets score 4.2 and allow 4.6, so they're not exactly locking teams down. With three key Mets out, including Mike Tauchman and Robert Stock, their depth takes a hit.

The sharp money is on the Nationals. The moneyline has moved from -128 to -116, a clear signal that smart bettors are backing the dog. At +105, you're getting plus money on a team with a winning road record and a head-to-head edge. That's value.

BetOnline.ag has the best price at +105. Don't settle for +101 at Bovada or MyBookie. When you're taking a dog, you want the best number possible. Lock it in at BetOnline and let the Nationals do the rest.