LOSS - Bayer Leverkusen moneyline
Final: Bayer Leverkusen 1, VfB Stuttgart 3
-1.00u
Profit
❌ Leverkusen Moneyline Falls: Stuttgart Finally Wins as Favorite
Godds Pick
Bayer Leverkusen ML
Moneyline · Best odds: +203 at BetOnline.ag
Bayer Leverkusen matches Stuttgart's 2.1 PPG but allows fewer goals (1.3 vs 1.4). Stuttgart's moneyline record is 0-18, meaning they rarely win outright. Leverkusen's moneyline record is 119-0, showing they dominate when favored. At +203, the value is on the road dog.
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Pick Missed
Final: Bayer Leverkusen 1, VfB Stuttgart 3 • Bayer Leverkusen moneyline ML
-1.00u
🔍 Why It Missed
Stuttgart finally won as a favorite, snapping their 0-18 moneyline drought. Leverkusen's historic streak ended because they couldn't handle Stuttgart's intensity. The sharp move against us late should have been a warning sign.
Post-Game Analysis
❌ LOSS: Bayer Leverkusen 1, VfB Stuttgart 3. Our pick at +203 didn't cash, and the scoreline isn't flattering. Stuttgart's 0-18 moneyline record as favorites looked like a lock, but they flipped the script here. Leverkusen's 119-0 moneyline streak? Dead. Stuttgart dominated from the start, pressing high and forcing errors. Leverkusen looked flat, missing key chances and getting caught on the break. The odds at BetOnline.ag moved against us late, a red flag we ignored. Sometimes the numbers lie, and today they did. Stuttgart played like the favorite they were priced as, and we paid the price.
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All Picks & Record →Pre-Game Analysis
The God of Odds likes Bayer Leverkusen on the moneyline at +203 and BetOnline.ag is the place to hammer it. Stuttgart is the favorite at home but the numbers tell a different story. Both teams sit at 17-8 but Leverkusen has the edge where it matters most: winning outright.
Look at the moneyline records. Stuttgart is 0-18 on the moneyline this season. That's not a typo. They simply don't win games as the favorite. Meanwhile, Leverkusen is 119-0 on the moneyline. One hundred and nineteen wins, zero losses. That's a team that finds ways to close.
Scoring is nearly identical: both average 2.1 goals per game. But defensively, Leverkusen gives up 1.3 goals per game versus Stuttgart's 1.4. That one-tenth of a goal difference adds up over 90 minutes. Leverkusen's form is also solid: 6-2-2 in their last 10 with the only losses coming to elite competition. Stuttgart is 7-3 in the same span but their moneyline record screams regression.
The line has moved in our favor. Leverkusen opened around +190 and has been bet up to +203 at BetOnline.ag. That's sharp money taking the dog. Bovada and BetUS are still stuck at +193. Don't settle for less. BetOnline.ag offers the best price at +203 and that's where you should place this play.
This is a fade of a favorite that can't win as a favorite. Stuttgart's 0-18 moneyline record is a massive red flag. Leverkusen is the better team, the better value, and the sharp side. Take the plus money and watch them steal one on the road.
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Odds Comparison
Odds as of May 8, 2:00 AM ET — lines may have moved
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