Freiburg at Augsburg, and the market says +119 favorite.

Freiburg walks into Augsburg as the favorite at +119, and the market gives them a 44% chance to win outright. Augsburg sits at 31%, the draw at 25%. This is a Bundesliga matchup where the price tells you the market respects Freiburg's form but won't ignore Augsburg's home streak. The number is tight enough that both sides have a real argument.

Freiburg's case is simple: they're 4-1-2 on the season, riding a three-game win streak, and allowing just 1.3 goals per game while scoring 2.3. That's a team that controls matches and finishes them. Their moneyline record is 2-2, so they've cashed as favorites half the time. The +119 price reflects that consistency.

Augsburg counters with a two-game win streak of their own, scoring 2.4 goals per game and allowing 1.9. Their last 10 reads D-L-D-L-D-W-W-T-L-T, which is streaky but shows they can string results together. At home, they're a different team. The +212 price on the moneyline is the market's way of saying they're live but not likely. Their 1-3 moneyline record is the counterweight.

The line has moved since opening. Bovada opened Freiburg at +121, BetUS at +115, BetOnline.ag at +119. The best price on Freiburg is +121 at Bovada. Augsburg's best number is +212 at BetOnline.ag. The draw sits at +289 at BetOnline.ag. In Draw No Bet, Freiburg is -159 at BetOnline.ag, Augsburg +132 at BetOnline.ag. The market has settled on Freiburg as a modest favorite, and the prices are consistent across books.

GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in the model, so there's no recommendation. If you have a read, the best number for Freiburg is +121 at Bovada, and for Augsburg it's +212 at BetOnline.ag.