Stuttgart -147 at home. The line's moving the other way.

Stuttgart hosts Werder Bremen on Saturday with the market still favoring the home side, but the number is telling a different story. Stuttgart sits at -147 on the moneyline, with the draw at +369 and Werder Bremen at +338. Strip out the margin and the market gives Stuttgart 57%, the draw 21%, and Bremen 22%. That's a favorite, but not a heavy one.

Stuttgart's case is built on home advantage and a scoring rate of 1.8 goals per game against 1.9 allowed. But the record is 3-0-5, and the last 10 reads W-L-L-W-L-L-W-L-W-L. A one-game losing streak and a moneyline record of 3-4 mean this team hasn't been reliable for bettors backing them.

Werder Bremen brings a 4-3-1 record and 2.1 goals per game while allowing 1.8. Their last 10 is W-W-D-D-W-D-W-L-W-W, and their moneyline record is 5-3. They've been the steadier side, even with a one-game losing streak of their own. The data gives Bremen the better form and the better record, but they're still priced as the underdog.

The line opened at -211 for Stuttgart and has moved to -147, with sharp money on Werder Bremen. That's a significant shift. Best prices: Stuttgart -143 at BetOnline.ag, the draw +369 at BetUS, and Werder Bremen +338 at BetUS. In Draw No Bet, Stuttgart is -300 at BetOnline.ag and Bremen +245 at BetUS.

GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in the model. If you have a read, the best number is out there: -143 on Stuttgart or +338 on Bremen.