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Liverpool +194, Arsenal +148. The market sees both sides.

GODDSGODDS Analysis

No pick

No GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →

The market

  • Favorite: Arsenal (moneyline +145)
  • Market probability (margin removed): Liverpool 33%, Draw 28%, Arsenal 39%

Best prices when this analysis was written

Moneyline

Draw No Bet

Liverpool host Arsenal Sunday, and the market has made Arsenal the favorite at +145 on the moneyline. The market probability, margin removed, sits at Liverpool 33%, Draw 28%, Arsenal 39%. The draw is priced at +242. That's a three way market with no side commanding the board.

Arsenal's case is the record. They're 7-0-1 and riding a 4-game win streak. They score 1.6 PPG and allow just 0.6, the best defensive number in this matchup. Their last 10 reads W-W-W-L-W-W-W-W-W-W, and they're 6-1 on the moneyline. That's a side that wins the games it's supposed to win, and the market has noticed.

Liverpool's case is home ground and the schedule. They're 4-3-1 with 2 draws in a row, scoring 1.4 PPG and allowing 1.0. Their last 10 is W-W-L-W-D-W-D-D-W-W, and they're 3-3 on the moneyline. The price reflects the gap, but Anfield is the equalizer, and the market has already moved toward the home side.

The moneyline opened at +222 on Liverpool and has been bet down to +190, a sharp move toward the home side. The best current prices: Liverpool +194 at BetAnything, the draw +242 at BetAnything, Arsenal +148 at BetAnything. On Draw No Bet, Liverpool sits at +108 at BetAnything and Arsenal at -132 at BetAnything. If your read is Liverpool, the number has already moved; if it's Arsenal, you're paying for the record.

GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in the model, so there's no call to make. If you have a read, the best number is waiting at BetAnything.

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Odds Comparison

SportsbookArsenalDrawLiverpoolDNB ArsenalDNB Liverpool
MyBookie.ag+232
Bovada+240
BetUS+240
BetOnline.ag+242
BetAnything+242
Pinnacle (sharp line) fair+157+256+203-118+118

DNB (Draw No Bet): a draw returns the stake. Each book's from its own prices for the team and the draw: the price of the two bets that make it there.

Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.

Odds as of Oct 31, 11:40 AM ET. Lines may have moved.

Arsenal vs Liverpool: FAQ

Who is favored in Arsenal vs Liverpool?+

Arsenal: +145 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 39%.

What are the best odds for Arsenal vs Liverpool?+

When this analysis was written: Liverpool +194 at BetAnything, Draw +242 at BetAnything and Arsenal +148 at BetAnything on the moneyline; Liverpool +108 at BetAnything and Arsenal -132 at BetAnything on the Draw No Bet. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.

Does GODDS have a pick for Arsenal vs Liverpool?+

No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.

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