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Bournemouth -110 at Ipswich, and the market's made its call.

GODDSGODDS Analysis

No pick

No GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →

The market

  • Favorite: Bournemouth (moneyline -110)
  • Market probability (margin removed): Ipswich Town 25%, Draw 26%, Bournemouth 50%

Best prices when this analysis was written

Moneyline

Draw No Bet

Bournemouth heads to Portman Road as the market's clear favorite at -110, with the draw at +275 and Ipswich Town out at +300. The margin-removed probabilities tell the story: Bournemouth 50%, draw 26%, Ipswich 25%. That's a road team the books respect, but not one they're hiding from.

Ipswich has its case. The home side is on a 1-game win streak and scores 1.6 goals per game, the same rate Bournemouth brings. Ipswich's moneyline record sits at 2-2, and at +300 the market is asking for a lot from a team that just won. The last 10 reads D-D-L-W-L-W-L-L-W-L, a side that trades results but hasn't been buried. Home form plus the price is the argument.

Bournemouth's case is the defensive number. The Cherries allow 1.4 goals per game against Ipswich's 2.0, and they're 3-3-3 with a 2-2 moneyline record. The last 10 shows W-W-W-L-L-D-D-D-L-L, a team that started hot and has cooled, but the underlying goals-allowed gap is real. At -110, the market is paying for the better defensive profile.

The line has moved. Ipswich opened +200 and sits at +287 now, a sharp shift toward Bournemouth. Best prices: Ipswich +300 at BetOnline.ag, Draw +275 at BetAnything, Bournemouth -107 at BetOnline.ag. In Draw No Bet, Ipswich +193 at BetOnline.ag and Bournemouth -240 at BetOnline.ag.

GODDS has no pick here. No side reaches 70% in the model, so there's no play to hand you. If you've got a read, the best number is waiting at BetOnline.ag.

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Odds Comparison

SportsbookBournemouthDrawTownDNB BournemouthDNB Town
MyBookie.ag+270
Bovada+275
Everygame+260
BetUS+270
BetAnything+275
BetOnline.ag+273
Pinnacle (sharp line) fair-102+287+322-213+213

DNB (Draw No Bet): a draw returns the stake. Each book's from its own prices for the team and the draw: the price of the two bets that make it there.

Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.

Odds as of Nov 7, 3:02 PM ET. Lines may have moved.

Bournemouth vs Ipswich Town: FAQ

Who is favored in Bournemouth vs Ipswich Town?+

Bournemouth: -110 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 50%.

What are the best odds for Bournemouth vs Ipswich Town?+

When this analysis was written: Ipswich Town +300 at BetOnline.ag, Draw +275 at BetAnything and Bournemouth -107 at BetOnline.ag on the moneyline; Ipswich Town +193 at BetOnline.ag and Bournemouth -240 at BetOnline.ag on the Draw No Bet. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.

Does GODDS have a pick for Bournemouth vs Ipswich Town?+

No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.

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