Brentford -132 at Hull City, and the market's price gap is wide.
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: Brentford (moneyline -140)
- Market probability (margin removed): Hull City 21%, Draw 24%, Brentford 55%
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- Hull City +385 at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
- Draw +315 at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
- Brentford -132 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
Draw No Bet
- Hull City +268 at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
- Brentford -320 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
Brentford rolls into Hull City as the favorite at -132, with the market giving the Bees a 55% chance after margin is removed. Hull City sits at 21%, the draw at 24%. That's a lopsided split for a road side, and it's the number every bettor has to wrestle with before kickoff.
Hull City's case starts with form. The Tigers are on a two-game win streak and allow just 1.0 goal per game, a defense that keeps them in matches. They're scoring 1.1 per game, so this isn't a team that wins shootouts. But at +385 on the moneyline, the market is daring you to believe the streak is real. Hull's last 10 shows plenty of draws and losses, which is why the price is this high.
Brentford counters with offense. The Bees score 1.9 goals per game, the clear separator in this matchup, and allow 1.1. They've won their last match and have a 1-1 moneyline record. The away side's last 10 is a grind of draws, but the scoring rate is the reason the market made them the favorite. At -132, you're paying for that attack.
The line moved on Hull City, from +370 to +350, a sign of sharp money on the home side. The best price on Hull is now +385 at BetOnline.ag, while Brentford's best is -132 at BetAnything. The draw sits at +315 at BetOnline.ag. In Draw No Bet, Hull is +268 at BetOnline.ag and Brentford is -320 at BetAnything.
GODDS has no pick here. No side reaches 70% in the model, so there's no official play. If you have a read, the best number is waiting for you.
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Odds Comparison
DNB (Draw No Bet): a draw returns the stake. Each book's from its own prices for the team and the draw: the price of the two bets that make it there.
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Oct 24, 9:55 AM ET. Lines may have moved.
Brentford vs Hull City: FAQ
Who is favored in Brentford vs Hull City?+
Brentford: -140 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 55%.
What are the best odds for Brentford vs Hull City?+
When this analysis was written: Hull City +385 at BetOnline.ag, Draw +315 at BetOnline.ag and Brentford -132 at BetAnything on the moneyline; Hull City +268 at BetOnline.ag and Brentford -320 at BetAnything on the Draw No Bet. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
Does GODDS have a pick for Brentford vs Hull City?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
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