Chelsea +138 at Brentford. The dog barks loudest on Friday.

The God of Odds likes Chelsea on the moneyline at +138 - and BetOnline.ag is the place to hammer it.

Brentford sits at 1-0, but their recent form tells a different story. Their last seven matches read D-D-D-W-T-T-T. That's a lot of draws and ties, not the mark of a side ready to put away a team like Chelsea. They're scoring 1.8 goals per game and allowing 1.0, respectable numbers, but not enough to justify being this heavy a favorite against a Blues side that can score in bunches.

Chelsea is 2-1 on the season and averaging 2.5 goals per game. Yes, they allow 2.3, but their last nine matches show D-L-W-W-T-L-L-L-L. That's a team that has taken its lumps and is due for a correction. Their moneyline record of 1-4 is ugly, but that's exactly why the price is this generous. The market is overreacting to recent results, and the line has moved our way. Early season means small sample sizes, and the value sits with the dog.

The best price on Chelsea is +138 at BetOnline.ag. Bovada and BetAnything are both at +130, while MyBookie.ag and Everygame are at +129 and +125 respectively. That's a real gap. A $100 bet at +138 pays $138, while the same bet at +125 pays just $125. Over time, those extra dollars matter. BetOnline.ag is where you want to be.

Brentford is the favorite, but they haven't shown they can separate from anyone. Chelsea has the scoring punch to hang around, and at this price, they're the smart play. Take the value. Take Chelsea.