Braves +102 at Mets: Fade the home team with the league's best record

The God of Odds likes the Atlanta Braves moneyline at +102 and BetOnline.ag is the place to hammer it.

Let's get one thing straight: the Braves are 46-24 for a reason. They score 5.1 runs per game and allow only 3.5. Their ERA is 3.23 compared to the Mets' 3.89. Their OPS is .749 against the Mets' .660. This isn't close on paper, and the line is treating Atlanta like an underdog. That's a mistake.

New York sits at 31-39 and has covered the spread just 22% of the time this season. They're 17-18 at home, which is barely above .500. Meanwhile, the Braves are 24-13 on the road. The Mets are also dealing with injuries to Robert Stock and Mike Tauchman, two players who would have been in the mix. The Mets' moneyline record is a brutal 321-624. That's not a typo.

Now look at the recent form. Atlanta went 6-1-3 in their last 10 (W-L-W-W-W-L-L-D-L-W). They've been consistent, even with a few hiccups. The Mets are 4-6 in their last 10 and have no momentum. The head-to-head from June 12 saw the Mets win 7-5, but that's one game. The Braves are the better team and they're getting plus money.

BetOnline.ag has the best price at +102. Bovada is offering +100 and MyBookie is at -101. That two-cent difference adds up over a season. Don't leave value on the table. Take the Braves at +102 and watch the best team in baseball do what they do.

Confidence: 4 out of 5. Strong play.