Baltimore Orioles +104 at Detroit Tigers. The series history says take the dog.
Godds Pick
Baltimore Orioles ML
Moneyline · Best odds: +104 at LowVig.ag
Baltimore Orioles are 2-1 in the season series and have won the last two meetings. Despite a worse ERA (4.15 vs 3.60), they are getting plus money as underdogs at +104 on LowVig.ag. Detroit is missing two key players including their starting pitcher Troy Watson, while Baltimore's injuries are less impactful. The Orioles have scored 4.6 PPG on the season and should exploit a Tigers team that is only 27-22 on the moneyline at home.
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The God of Odds likes the Baltimore Orioles moneyline at +104 and LowVig.ag is the place to hammer it. At plus money against a Tigers team with a losing record, this is value you don't see every day.
Detroit comes in at 50-55 overall and just 29-24 at home. They've been inconsistent, going L-W-W-L-W-L-W-W-W-L in their last 10. Meanwhile, Baltimore sits at 51-54 but has won two of three in this season series, including a 7-4 win on May 22 and a 5-3 win on May 24. The Orioles are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is higher than Detroit's 4.2. They also have a slight edge in recent form, going 4-5 in their last 5 but with wins in 6 of their last 10.
Injuries are a major factor here. The Tigers are without Josue Briceno (C) and starting pitcher Troy Watson. Losing a starter is a massive blow, especially against a lineup that has already shown it can score against them. Baltimore is missing Luis Vazquez (SS) and Keagan Gillies (P), but neither is as impactful as a missing SP. The Tigers' ERA of 3.60 is better than Baltimore's 4.15, but that gap narrows significantly when you factor in Watson's absence.
The line hasn't moved much, but the sharp play is on the underdog. Baltimore's moneyline record is 26-34, but that's partly because they've been overpriced as favorites. Here, they're the dog at +104, and that's where the edge lives. LowVig.ag offers the best price at +104, while other books like BetUS have it at +103. Take the extra dollar and back the Orioles to keep their series momentum going.

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Odds as of Jul 26, 3:21 PM ET — lines may have moved

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