WINNER - Chicago Cubs moneyline
Final: Chicago Cubs 10, New York Mets 5
+0.96u
Profit
✅ Cubs -104: Run Differential Doesn't Lie
Godds Pick
Chicago Cubs ML
Moneyline · Best odds: -104 at MyBookie.ag
The Cubs are 41-37, outscoring opponents 4.8 to 4.5, and have won 3 straight head-to-head against the Mets by a combined 18-7. The Mets are 34-44 with a 24% ATS cover rate. Three key Mets injuries tilt the value further. MyBookie.ag offers the best price on Chicago at -104.
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Pick Cashed
Final: Chicago Cubs 10, New York Mets 5 • Chicago Cubs moneyline ML
+0.96u
⚡ Why It Hit
The Cubs had a clear statistical edge in run differential and recent form, and they delivered exactly as expected. The -104 price on MyBookie.ag was pure value for a better team against a struggling opponent.
Post-Game Analysis
✅ WIN: Chicago Cubs 10, New York Mets 5.
The Cubs didn't just win, they crushed the Mets in their own park. The pre-game numbers were spot on: Chicago's offense averaging 4.8 runs per game showed up big with 10 runs, while the Mets' 4.1 average fell short again. The 7-game gap in the standings wasn't a fluke. The Cubs' recent 6-1-3 run in their last 10 included wins in 3 of their last 4, and that momentum carried right into this game. The Mets' 4-5-1 stretch? More of the same mediocrity.
If you grabbed the Cubs at -104 on MyBookie.ag, you got value on a team that was simply better from the start. The line never moved much, which tells you the sharp money was already in. Sometimes the numbers are that clean.
THE TAKEAWAY: When a team with a clear run differential and recent form edge is priced below -110, don't overthink it.
The God of Odds delivers again.
All Picks & Record →Pre-Game Analysis
The God of Odds likes the Chicago Cubs on the moneyline at -105, and MyBookie.ag is the place to hammer it at -104.
The numbers don't lie. The Cubs are 41-37, averaging 4.8 runs per game while allowing 4.5. The Mets? 34-44, scoring 4.1 and giving up 4.5. That's a 7-game gap in the standings and a clear edge in run differential.
Recent form backs it up. The Cubs went 6-1-3 in their last 10 games, with wins in 3 of their last 4. The Mets staggered through a 4-5-1 stretch, including a loss in their most recent outing. And when these two met in April, Chicago swept a 3-game set, outscoring New York 18-7. That's not a fluke. That's a pattern.
Injuries tilt this even further. The Mets are missing three key pieces: Mike Tauchman, Robert Stock, and Grae Kessinger. The Cubs have two injuries but both are pitchers, and their offense remains intact. With a .741 OPS against the Mets' .670, Chicago has the bats to punish a depleted New York staff.
The market hasn't fully adjusted. The consensus line sits at -105 both ways, but you can grab the Cubs at -104 on MyBookie.ag. That's the best price on the board for the better team. BetOnline and LowVig offer -105, but why pay extra when the edge is already this clear?
This is a 4/5 confidence play. The Cubs are the sharper side, the healthier side, and the side with the head-to-head receipts. Take Chicago on the moneyline and let the Mets figure out their mess.
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Odds Comparison
Odds as of Jun 24, 3:57 PM ET — lines may have moved
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