LOSS - Chicago Cubs moneyline
Final: Chicago Cubs 1, Pittsburgh Pirates 12
-1.00u
Profit
❌ Cubs Moneyline +119: Skid Was Real
Godds Pick
Chicago Cubs ML
Moneyline · Best odds: +119 at LowVig.ag
Cubs have a better record (29-24) than the Pirates (27-26), and Pittsburgh is missing three key players including two relievers and a second baseman. The Cubs are undervalued as +119 dogs despite being the better team, and LowVig offers the best price.
Bet at LowVig.ag →Community Pulse
Pick Missed
Final: Chicago Cubs 1, Pittsburgh Pirates 12 • Chicago Cubs moneyline ML
-1.00u
🔍 Why It Missed
The Cubs' losing streak proved to be more than a blip. Their pitching collapsed, and the Pirates took full advantage. The +119 line was a trap for bettors banking on a bounce back that never came.
Post-Game Analysis
❌ LOSS. The Pirates crushed the Cubs 12-1, and our +119 moneyline pick went up in flames.
Why it missed: The Cubs' recent 2-8 skid wasn't overblown at all. Their pitching staff got absolutely shelled. Meanwhile, the Pirates' 4-6 stretch didn't matter because they woke up at home. The line at +119 looked like value, but the market knew something we didn't. Pittsburgh's offense erupted for 12 runs, and Chicago never had a chance. This is a reminder that when a team is in a tailspin, sometimes the numbers lie. The Cubs are now 29-25, and that record is getting shaky.
The takeaway: Don't buy low on a cold team just because the line looks off. Trust recent performance over season-long records when the skid is this severe.
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All Picks & Record →Pre-Game Analysis
The God of Odds likes the Chicago Cubs on the moneyline at +119 and LowVig is the place to hammer it.
Let's cut through the noise. The Pirates are 27-26 and playing at home, but this line is backwards. The Cubs are 29-24 overall with a better record. Pittsburgh's recent form is ugly: 4-6 in their last 10 with three losses in their last four. Meanwhile, the Cubs are 2-8 in their last 10, but that skid is overblown. They won two of their last three before this losing streak started, and they're getting a fat plus price against a team that's barely above .500.
Now look at the injury report. The Pirates are missing three key pieces: relievers Chris Devenski and Oddanier Mosqueda, plus second baseman Ronny Simon. That's a thin bullpen getting thinner. The Cubs have only one notable absence in reliever Brandon Birdsell. Pittsburgh's bullpen was already shaky, and now they're down two arms. That's a gift for a Cubs lineup that averages 4.8 runs per game.
Head to head, the Pirates took three of four earlier this season, but those games were tight: 2-0, 4-3, and 7-6. The Cubs were in every game. Regression favors the better team here, and the Cubs are the better team.
LowVig has the best price at +119. BetOnline and BetUS both offer +119 as well, but LowVig gives you the best value on the underdog. Don't pay -129 at MyBookie for the Pirates when you can get the Cubs at plus money. The sharp play is on Chicago. Take the plus money and fade the favorite.
Confidence: 3/5. This is a solid value play on a team that's being disrespected by the market.
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Odds as of May 26, 8:44 AM ET — lines may have moved
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