Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees: Back the Yankees at -103 despite the line move

The God of Odds likes the New York Yankees on the moneyline at -103 and LowVig.ag is the place to hammer it.

The Yankees have been one of the best teams in baseball this season, sitting at 46-29 with a 22-14 home record. They're scoring 5.2 runs per game while allowing just 3.6. Their pitching staff boasts a 3.34 ERA, a full 1.3 runs better than the Reds' 4.63. Even though they lost the last four head-to-head matchups against Cincinnati, this is a different Yankees team playing at home.

Cincinnati comes in at 36-39 and just 17-20 on the road. They're allowing 4.9 runs per game, and their bullpen is banged up with Alex Young (RP) and Carson Spiers (SP) both out or doubtful. The Reds have been inconsistent lately, going 4-6 in their last 10. Meanwhile, the Yankees are 7-3 in their last 10 and have been winning consistently.

The moneyline has moved from -138 to -103, with sharp money coming in on the Reds. That's a red flag for some, but it's created value on the Yankees. At -103, you're getting a superior team at nearly even money. That's a gift. The Yankees' OPS of .772 versus .707 for the Reds further underscores the offensive advantage.

Take the Yankees at -103 at LowVig.ag. It's the best price available, and it's a strong play with 4 out of 5 confidence. The public might be chasing the line move, but we're chasing value.