LOSS - New York Mets moneyline
Final: New York Mets 0, Cincinnati Reds 12
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Profit
Mets +122 at Reds: Fade Cincinnati's free fall and grab the value on New York
Godds Pick
New York Mets ML
Moneyline · Best odds: +122 at BetOnline.ag
The Mets are catching the Reds at the right time. Cincinnati has lost 8 of their last 10, allowing 5.0 runs per game, and their ERA sits at 4.68. Meanwhile, New York boasts a 3.85 ERA and has won 6 of their last 10. With three key Reds pitchers out or doubtful, the value is on the underdog.
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Pick Missed
Final: New York Mets 0, Cincinnati Reds 12 • New York Mets moneyline ML
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Post-Game Analysis
❌ LOSS: New York Mets 0, Cincinnati Reds 12.
This one stings. The Reds were supposed to be in a tailspin, but they came out and absolutely demolished the Mets. The pitching staff we expected to struggle? They held the Mets to zero runs. Our sharp analysis on the Reds' bullpen issues and their 4.68 ERA looked solid on paper, but baseball doesn't play out on paper. The Mets offense went completely silent, and the Reds' bats exploded for 12 runs. Sometimes you get the right side of a fade and the team you're backing just lays an egg. BetOnline.ag had the best price at +122, and the value was there. It just didn't work.
The takeaway: Even strong fades can backfire when the offense goes cold. Stick to the process, but respect that baseball is a high variance sport.
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All Picks & Record →Pre-Game Analysis
The God of Odds likes the New York Mets moneyline at +122 against the Cincinnati Reds. And BetOnline.ag is the place to hammer it with the best price available.
The Reds are in a tailspin. They've lost 8 of their last 10 games and are fresh off a five-game losing streak. Their pitching staff owns a 4.68 ERA, and they're giving up 5.0 runs per game. To make matters worse, three key arms are out or doubtful: Carson Spiers (listed twice, but that's two losses), and Alex Young. That bullpen is thin, and it shows.
The Mets, meanwhile, have quietly turned things around. They're 6-4 in their last 10, and their team ERA is a sharp 3.85. Yes, they have four players on the injury list, but the pitching staff is intact and outperforming Cincinnati's by nearly a full run per game. In a matchup where runs could be scarce for the Reds, the Mets have the edge on the mound.
The head-to-head history is close, but the Mets took the last meeting 4-2. That win came on the road, just like this one. Cincinnati is 17-18 at home, hardly a fortress. New York is 14-21 on the road, but at +122, you're getting paid to take the better pitcher in better form.
BetOnline.ag has the Mets at +122, the best moneyline price anywhere. MyBookie is at +119, Bovada at +116. The difference matters. Lock in the extra value at BetOnline. The public will pound the favorite, but the sharp money knows: this line is wrong. Fade the Reds' free fall and grab the Mets.

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Odds Comparison
Odds as of Jun 15, 11:51 AM ET — lines may have moved

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