Washington Nationals -120 vs Phillies: Bet the better offense at home

The God of Odds likes the Washington Nationals on the moneyline at -120, and BetUS is the place to hammer it.

The Nationals enter this one with a 40-38 record, scoring 5.3 runs per game while allowing 5.2. That's a full run more per game than the Phillies, who average 4.3 on both sides of the ball. Washington's OPS sits at .742, well above Philadelphia's .697. The Phillies may have a better ERA (4.06 vs 4.64), but they're banged up. Five key players are out or doubtful, including Johan Rojas, Daniel Robert, Aidan Miller, Keaton Anthony, and Christian McGowan. That's a lot of talent missing from the lineup and bullpen.

Washington has its own injury concerns with four pitchers sidelined, but they've still managed a winning record. The Phillies are 42-35 but just 19-16 on the road. In the last three meetings, the Nationals won the most recent one 13-2, showing they can put up crooked numbers against Philly pitching. The line hasn't moved much, but the sharp play is on the home favorite.

For the best price, go to BetUS at -120. Other books like MyBookie and Bovada are at -121 and -124, so you're saving juice. The Nationals have the offensive edge, the Phillies are shorthanded, and the price is right. Lock it in.