Reds +118 vs Pirates: The market's wrong, and I'll prove it.

The God of Odds likes the Cincinnati Reds on the moneyline at +118, and BetOnline.ag is the place to hammer it. The Pirates are the trendy side, but their form stinks and the price is telling you to fade them.

Pittsburgh comes in at 55-55, but look closer: they're 4-6 in their last 10 and losers of three straight. Meanwhile, the Reds are 51-57, but they've won three of their last five and have a 29-24 ATS record, covering at a 55% clip. The Pirates are scoring 5.1 PPG, but they're also allowing 4.8, and their bullpen is banged up with Chris Devenski and Oddanier Mosqueda out. The Reds counter with Alex Young and Carson Spiers on the shelf, but their offense has shown life.

Head-to-head, the Pirates took 4 of 5, but the Reds won the most recent meeting 2-0. That's momentum. And the line movement? The ML moved from 109 to 118, sharp money on Pittsburgh. But that's exactly when you fade the public. The Reds are the underdog at home, and they're getting no respect.

BetOnline.ag is offering the best price at +118, while other books like Bovada and MyBookie are at +114 and +113. That's a four-to-five cent difference on the same bet. Why leave money on the table? Lock in the Reds at +118 and watch the Pirates' slide continue.