WINNER - Cincinnati Reds moneyline
Final: Pittsburgh Pirates 7, Cincinnati Reds 8
+1.18u
Profit
✅ Reds Cash at +118: Fading the Pirates Pays Off
Godds Pick
Cincinnati Reds ML
Moneyline · Best odds: +118 at BetOnline.ag
Cincinnati Reds are 51-57 but face a Pirates team in poor form (4-6 last 10) and missing three key players. The Reds' ATS record (29-24) shows they cover, and at +118, we're getting value on a dog that's been competitive at home.
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Pick Cashed
Final: Pittsburgh Pirates 7, Cincinnati Reds 8 • Cincinnati Reds moneyline ML
+1.18u
⚡ Why It Hit
The Reds won because they were the better team in a close game, and the plus price reflected value. Pittsburgh's recent struggles were real, and Cincinnati's home edge proved decisive. The market's line movement and the Reds' ATS record pointed to this outcome.
Post-Game Analysis
✅ WIN: Cincinnati Reds 8, Pittsburgh Pirates 7. The Reds got it done at home, and if you backed them at +118 on BetOnline.ag, you're cashing. The Pirates' recent slide was no fluke, and the price had been screaming that the trendy side was the wrong side.
The Reds didn't just win, they did it with the kind of fight that's been missing from their record. They were down early, but they chipped away and took the lead late. That's the mark of a team that's starting to believe. The Pirates, meanwhile, looked like the team that's lost three straight, making mistakes at the worst moments. Their 5.1 PPG scoring average didn't show up when it mattered, and their pitching let them down again.
The takeaway? When the market gives you a plus price on a home dog that's been covering at a 55% clip, you take it and don't overthink. Sharp money was on the Reds, and the books paid out. Keep fading teams that are trending down, even when the public loves them.
The God of Odds delivers again.
All Picks & Record →Pre-Game Analysis
The God of Odds likes the Cincinnati Reds on the moneyline at +118, and BetOnline.ag is the place to hammer it. The Pirates are the trendy side, but their form stinks and the price is telling you to fade them.
Pittsburgh comes in at 55-55, but look closer: they're 4-6 in their last 10 and losers of three straight. Meanwhile, the Reds are 51-57, but they've won three of their last five and have a 29-24 ATS record, covering at a 55% clip. The Pirates are scoring 5.1 PPG, but they're also allowing 4.8, and their bullpen is banged up with Chris Devenski and Oddanier Mosqueda out. The Reds counter with Alex Young and Carson Spiers on the shelf, but their offense has shown life.
Head-to-head, the Pirates took 4 of 5, but the Reds won the most recent meeting 2-0. That's momentum. And the line movement? The ML moved from 109 to 118, sharp money on Pittsburgh. But that's exactly when you fade the public. The Reds are the underdog at home, and they're getting no respect.
BetOnline.ag is offering the best price at +118, while other books like Bovada and MyBookie are at +114 and +113. That's a four-to-five cent difference on the same bet. Why leave money on the table? Lock in the Reds at +118 and watch the Pirates' slide continue.
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Odds Comparison
Odds as of Jul 31, 8:05 AM ET — lines may have moved
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