WINNER - Cincinnati Reds moneyline
Final: Pittsburgh Pirates 7, Cincinnati Reds 8
+1.06u
Profit
✅ Reds Win 8-7: Sharp Money Cashes at +106
Godds Pick
Cincinnati Reds ML
Moneyline · Best odds: +107 at BetUS
The Reds are 52-57 but have won 2 of their last 3 and cover at 56% ATS. The Pirates are 55-56 but have lost 4 straight and are 25-29 ATS. Sharp money moved the ML from +112 to +106, and with Pittsburgh missing 3 key players, the value is on Cincinnati at home.
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Pick Cashed
Final: Pittsburgh Pirates 7, Cincinnati Reds 8 • Cincinnati Reds moneyline ML
+1.06u
⚡ Why It Hit
The Reds won because they were the better team at home, and the line movement from +112 to +106 reflected sharp money on Cincinnati. Pittsburgh's losing streak and poor ATS record were accurate indicators of their decline.
Post-Game Analysis
✅ WIN: The Cincinnati Reds edged out the Pittsburgh Pirates 8-7, and our moneyline bet at +106 cashed. The market was right to slide from +112 to +106, and the Reds delivered.
Pittsburgh's losing streak hit five, and their 25-29 ATS record now looks even worse. Cincinnati's 56% cover rate was a signal, and they proved it at home. The Reds' offense came through in a close one, showing they can win the tight games that matter for bettors.
This was a 3/5 confidence play, and it hit. The takeaway: when the line moves against a struggling team, trust the sharp money. BetUS had the best number, and they paid out.
The God of Odds delivers again.
All Picks & Record →Pre-Game Analysis
The God of Odds likes the Cincinnati Reds on the moneyline at +106, and BetUS is the place to hammer it. The market's been sliding our way, from +112 down to +106, and that's sharp money telling you the Pirates are overvalued.
Pittsburgh's wheels are falling off. They've lost four straight and are just 25-29 against the spread on the season. Meanwhile, Cincinnati has won two of their last three and cover at a 56% clip overall. The Reds have been competitive at home despite a 25-30 record, and they're catching the Pirates at the wrong time.
Injuries are the real story here. The Pirates are missing three key pieces: Chris Devenski, Oddanier Mosqueda, and Ronny Simon. That's a bullpen arm, a lefty specialist, and a starting second baseman. Cincinnati's own injuries to Alex Young and Carson Spiers hurt, but they're not as deep a cut. The Reds' offense is averaging 4.1 runs per game, and while they allow 4.8, the Pirates' recent form suggests they won't cash in.
The head-to-head history is ugly, with Pittsburgh taking 4 of the last 5, but those wins came in March and April. This is a different Reds team now, and the line movement confirms it. When the number moves from +112 to +106, the market is telling you the underdog is live.
Shop around and you'll find BetUS offering +107, better than the consensus +106. LowVig and BetOnline are stuck at +106, and Bovada's at +103. Take the extra dime at BetUS and get the best price on the dog. At +106, you're getting a team that's been covering at a 56% clip and facing a Pirates squad that's lost 4 straight. That's the kind of value you don't pass up.
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Odds Comparison
Odds as of Aug 1, 7:23 AM ET — lines may have moved
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