LOSS - St. Louis Cardinals moneyline
Final: Pittsburgh Pirates 7, St. Louis Cardinals 0
-1.00u
Profit
❌ Cardinals Lose 7-0: Head-to-Head Streak Ends in Shutout
Godds Pick
St. Louis Cardinals ML
Moneyline · Best odds: -111 at LowVig.ag
St. Louis has won 5 straight against Pittsburgh, including a 3-game sweep last series. The Pirates have lost 4 of their last 5 and are missing 3 key players. Despite ML movement toward Pittsburgh, the Cardinals' H2H dominance and opponent injuries provide value at -111.
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Pick Missed
Final: Pittsburgh Pirates 7, St. Louis Cardinals 0 • St. Louis Cardinals moneyline ML
-1.00u
🔍 Why It Missed
The Cardinals were 5-0 against the Pirates this season, but that streak ended emphatically with a 7-0 shutout. Pittsburgh's offense finally broke through against St. Louis pitching, and the Cardinals couldn't generate any runs. The head-to-head record was a strong indicator, but baseball's variance means even dominant trends can snap without warning.
Post-Game Analysis
❌ LOSS: St. Louis Cardinals lost 7-0 to the Pittsburgh Pirates, despite our pick at -111.
The Cardinals came in having won all five prior meetings this season, outscoring the Pirates 20-13 in that stretch. But tonight, the script flipped completely. Pittsburgh's offense exploded for 7 runs while St. Louis was shut out. The Cardinals' pitching, which had held the Pirates to manageable numbers in previous matchups, got shelled early and never recovered. Their 4.15 ERA coming in masked some inconsistency, and tonight it caught up to them. The Pirates simply outplayed them in every phase, and the 5-0 head-to-head record proved to be a mirage.
This loss stings, but it's a reminder that past head-to-head dominance doesn't guarantee future results, especially in baseball where any team can get hot on a given night. The Cardinals are still a solid team, but this game shows they're not invincible against the Pirates.
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All Picks & Record →Pre-Game Analysis
The God of Odds likes the St. Louis Cardinals moneyline at -112 -- and LowVig.ag is the place to hammer it at -111.
This is a matchup where the head-to-head record screams value. The Cardinals have taken all five meetings this season, including a three-game sweep in Pittsburgh last month. They outscored the Pirates 20-13 in that series, and the trend shows no sign of stopping.
St. Louis sits at 28-19 overall, a strong record backed by solid pitching. Their ERA sits at 4.15, but they've held Pittsburgh to 4, 7, and 4 runs in recent matchups -- well below the Pirates' season average of 4.9 per game. Meanwhile, the Pirates are losers of four of their last five, and their lineup takes a hit with three key players out: Oddanier Mosqueda, Ronny Simon, and Chris Devenski. Simon is a regular at second base, and losing him disrupts both offense and defense.
The moneyline has moved from -125 to -112, which means sharp money is on Pittsburgh. But that's exactly why we're backing the Cardinals. The line movement creates value on the favorite, especially with St. Louis covering at a 54% clip ATS and owning a 181-202 moneyline record. The Cardinals are the better team, they own the head-to-head, and they're getting a discount.
For the best price, hit LowVig.ag at -111. That's a full point better than Bovada and MyBookie. The extra juice adds up over a season, and on a 3/5 confidence play, you want every cent.
The Pirates are trending down. The Cardinals own them. Take St. Louis on the moneyline and let the head-to-head history cash your ticket.

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Odds Comparison
Odds as of May 20, 6:38 PM ET — lines may have moved

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