Cardinals +105 at Diamondbacks: Fade the Favorite, Grab the Value

The God of Odds likes the St. Louis Cardinals on the moneyline at +105 and BetUS is the place to hammer it.

Let's get one thing straight: the Diamondbacks are not some unbeatable force at home. They're 27-21 at Chase Field, sure, but that's not intimidating. Meanwhile, the Cardinals are 25-19 on the road and own a 51-45 overall record. That's a winning team with proven road chops.

Now look at Arizona's bullpen. Derek Law, Kyle Amendt, and Tommy Henry are all out or doubtful. Three relievers down. That's a massive edge late in the game. The Cardinals' offense, averaging 4.5 PPG, should find soft spots against a depleted pen.

Yes, St. Louis is 1-5 in their last five. But that's noise. They've split the season series 2-2 with Arizona, and the last meeting was a 3-2 Cardinals win. The line movement hasn't budged, which tells you sharp money isn't rushing to lay -115 on the D-backs. At +104 to +105, you're getting a winning team at a discount.

BetUS has the best number at +105. Compare that to Bovada at +101 or MyBookie at +103. That extra juice matters. Fade the favorite, grab the value, and ride with St. Louis.