Knicks -4.5 at home against Boston. The line moved for a reason.

The God of Odds likes New York Knicks -4.5 at -106, and LowVig.ag is the place to hammer it. This isn't about ignoring Boston's strong 54-25 record or their 26-14 road mark. It's about backing a team that wins where it matters most, at Madison Square Garden. The Knicks are 28-9 at home this season. They score 116.8 points per game and allow 110.4. That home court advantage is real, and it's baked into this number.

Yes, the Knicks have two guards out with Miles McBride and Landry Shamet sidelined. Boston loses Nikola Vucevic. But look at the recent form. New York is 8-2 in their last 10 games. They've won two of the last three meetings against the Celtics, including a 111-89 win in February. Their ATS record is 126-92-0, a 58% cover rate that tells you they consistently beat the number.

The spread moved from -4 to -4.5. That half-point shift matters. It's not public money pushing this. It's sharp action recognizing the value on the home side. Boston is in strong form at 8-2 in their last 10, but the Knicks have handled them recently and thrive in this building. The market is telling you something here.

For the best price, get to LowVig.ag at -4.5 (-106). That's a full four cents better than the -110 you'll find at most other books. When the line moves your way and the home team has a 58% ATS record, you take the value. The Knicks lay the points at home.