LOSS - Jacksonville Jaguars spread +2.75
Final: Jacksonville Jaguars 13, Denver Broncos 20
-1.00u
Profit
Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO
❌ Jaguars +2.75 Lose: Right Side, Wrong Result
Godds Pick
Jacksonville Jaguars +2.75
Spread · Price: -112
Jacksonville is 1-0 straight up and 1-0 against the spread while averaging 34.0 PPG and allowing just 10.0, and Denver is 0-1 with a 0% cover rate, scoring 10.0 while giving up 31.0. Denver lists six OUT/DOUBTFUL players to Jacksonville's one, and the Jaguars are catching +2 at even money at BetUS, the best spread price on the board.
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Pick Missed
Final: Jacksonville Jaguars 13, Denver Broncos 20 • Jacksonville Jaguars spread +2.75
-1.00u
🔍 Why It Missed
The pick missed because Jacksonville's offense, which averaged 34.0 points per game, was held to just 13 by a Denver defense that had allowed 31.0 the week prior. We beat the close by 0.3 points, confirming we had the right side at the right price, but the result didn't follow.
Post-Game Analysis
❌ LOSS: Jaguars 13, Broncos 20. Jacksonville never covered the +2.75, losing outright by a touchdown in Denver.
Why it missed: Denver's defense showed up in a way their 0-1 record never hinted at. The Broncos held Jacksonville to 13 points, a far cry from the 34.0 per game the Jaguars carried into this one. Jacksonville's offense stalled, and the +2.75 cushion evaporated early.
The close tells the real story. We grabbed +2.75 at -112, and the market moved toward us, closing at +2.5. That's a small but meaningful signal: sharp money agreed with our side. Beating the close by 0.3 points means we were on the right side at the right price, even though the result went the other way. Denver's defense forced the outcome, not the number.
Takeaway: Beating the close is a long-term edge, but it doesn't protect you from a bad beat when the underdog's offense disappears. Trust the process, not the result.
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All Picks & Record →Pre-Game Analysis
The God of Odds likes Jacksonville Jaguars +2 at even money, and BetUS is the place to hammer it.
Start with the only records that exist. Jacksonville is 1-0 straight up and 1-0 against the spread. Denver is 0-1 straight up and 0-1 against the spread. The Jaguars are putting up 34.0 points per game and allowing 10.0. The Broncos are scoring 10.0 and allowing 31.0. Denver has lost two straight dating back to last season. You're being handed points by a winless team that can't score, and the market is asking you to lay them anyway.
The injury report makes the number look even softer. Denver lists six OUT or DOUBTFUL bodies: Marvin Mims Jr. at receiver, Jonathon Cooper at linebacker, Nick Gargiulo at guard, Frank Crum at tackle, Caleb Lohner at tight end, and Levelle Bailey at linebacker. RJ Harvey is questionable at running back. That's both sides of the ball gutted. Jacksonville has one name on the report, B.J. Green II at defensive end. When one roster is missing six and the other is missing one, the points you're catching aren't a gift, they're a mispriced line.
The total moved from 44.5 to 45.5, and that over money tells you where the market thinks the scoring comes from. It isn't Denver's offense. The spread sat at -2.75 and never moved, which means books aren't getting steam on the favorite. They're comfortable holding a number that gives a 1-0 team points against an 0-1 team.
Here's the honest part. It's September, Jacksonville has played one game, and the football stat signals behind this pick got skipped because the sample is one game out of four. That's why this sits at 3/5 and not higher. The situational case is still the strongest thing on the board: undefeated versus winless, 34 points versus 10, one injury versus six.
BetUS is the only book on the board at +2 rather than +2.5 or +3, and it's priced at even money. MyBookie and BetOnline both sit at -2.5, and three other books have already pushed to -3. Take the +2 at BetUS before it's gone.

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Odds Comparison
Odds as of Sep 19, 1:50 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Denver Broncos: FAQ
Who should I bet on in Jacksonville Jaguars vs Denver Broncos?+
GODDS AI recommends Jacksonville Jaguars +2.75 with 3/5 confidence. Jaguars +2 at Broncos is the Week 2 spread play. Jacksonville is 1-0 ATS and scoring 34.0 PPG while Denver is 0-1 ATS with six players OUT or DOUBTFUL. BetUS has the best price.
What are the odds for Jacksonville Jaguars vs Denver Broncos?+
GODDS took Jacksonville Jaguars +2.75 at -112 when the pick was made. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks to find the best number.
What is the GODDS pick for Jacksonville Jaguars vs Denver Broncos?+
GODDS picks Jacksonville Jaguars spread +2.75 at -112, the price its result is graded at, with 3/5 confidence.

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