Jaguars +2 at Denver. The 1-0 team is getting points from the 0-1 team.
Godds Pick
Jacksonville Jaguars +2.75
Spread · Best odds: +100 at BetUS
Jacksonville is 1-0 straight up and 1-0 against the spread while averaging 34.0 PPG and allowing just 10.0, and Denver is 0-1 with a 0% cover rate, scoring 10.0 while giving up 31.0. Denver lists six OUT/DOUBTFUL players to Jacksonville's one, and the Jaguars are catching +2 at even money at BetUS, the best spread price on the board.
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The God of Odds likes Jacksonville Jaguars +2 at even money, and BetUS is the place to hammer it.
Start with the only records that exist. Jacksonville is 1-0 straight up and 1-0 against the spread. Denver is 0-1 straight up and 0-1 against the spread. The Jaguars are putting up 34.0 points per game and allowing 10.0. The Broncos are scoring 10.0 and allowing 31.0. Denver has lost two straight dating back to last season. You're being handed points by a winless team that can't score, and the market is asking you to lay them anyway.
The injury report makes the number look even softer. Denver lists six OUT or DOUBTFUL bodies: Marvin Mims Jr. at receiver, Jonathon Cooper at linebacker, Nick Gargiulo at guard, Frank Crum at tackle, Caleb Lohner at tight end, and Levelle Bailey at linebacker. RJ Harvey is questionable at running back. That's both sides of the ball gutted. Jacksonville has one name on the report, B.J. Green II at defensive end. When one roster is missing six and the other is missing one, the points you're catching aren't a gift, they're a mispriced line.
The total moved from 44.5 to 45.5, and that over money tells you where the market thinks the scoring comes from. It isn't Denver's offense. The spread sat at -2.75 and never moved, which means books aren't getting steam on the favorite. They're comfortable holding a number that gives a 1-0 team points against an 0-1 team.
Here's the honest part. It's September, Jacksonville has played one game, and the football stat signals behind this pick got skipped because the sample is one game out of four. That's why this sits at 3/5 and not higher. The situational case is still the strongest thing on the board: undefeated versus winless, 34 points versus 10, one injury versus six.
BetUS is the only book on the board at +2 rather than +2.5 or +3, and it's priced at even money. MyBookie and BetOnline both sit at -2.5, and three other books have already pushed to -3. Take the +2 at BetUS before it's gone.

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Odds Comparison
Odds as of Sep 19, 1:50 PM ET — lines may have moved

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