Giants vs Saints at pick'em. The home dog is the play.

The God of Odds likes the New York Giants at pick'em (0) at -110, and BetAnything is the place to hammer it.

The Giants are 3-1-1 and perfect at home, 3-0 in East Rutherford. They've won six of their last eight, with the only loss coming in a tight one. Meanwhile, the Saints are 1-4 and have dropped three straight, including a 30-23 loss to the Bucs last week. New Orleans is allowing 30.2 points per game, one of the worst marks in the league. The Giants are scoring 21.8 per game and should have no trouble moving the ball against a Saints defense that's missing key pieces.

Injuries are a concern for New York, with five players out or doubtful, including cornerback Colton Hood and safety Tyler Nubin. But the Saints are also banged up, with four out or doubtful and several key players questionable, including Alvin Kamara and Chris Olave. The Giants have a +7 turnover differential, which should help them control the game.

The spread has moved from -2.5 to 0, which means the market is fading the Giants. That's a mistake. The Giants are 2-1 against the spread this season, and they're 3-0 at home. The Saints are 2-3 ATS and 1-4 on the moneyline. The value is clearly on the home team at a pick'em.

BetAnything is offering the Giants at -110, which is the best price at this line. MyBookie has the Giants at +1, but that's a different line. Bovada has the Giants at -1, which is worse. So BetAnything is the clear choice.

Take the Giants at pick'em. The Saints are reeling, and the Giants are tough at home. This is a high-confidence play.