AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
Cowboys -8 vs Buccaneers. The Line Moved. Keep Up.
Godds Pick
Dallas Cowboys -8
Spread · Best odds: -110 at BetAnything
Dallas is 2-0 ATS, scoring 30.5 PPG while Tampa Bay is 0-4 with a 0-3 ATS mark and has lost Baker Mayfield. The line moved from -3.5 to -8, and the Cowboys have a +5 turnover edge and +11.5 PPG scoring edge.
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The God of Odds likes the Dallas Cowboys -8 at -110, and MyBookie.ag is the place to hammer it. The market opened at -3.5, and it now sits at -8. That's a 4.5-point move toward Dallas. The sharps aren't guessing. They're reacting to a Buccaneers team that is 0-4 and has lost Baker Mayfield.
Dallas is 2-2, but the record doesn't tell the story. The Cowboys are 2-0 against the spread, scoring 30.5 points per game while allowing 28.0. Tampa Bay is scoring just 19.0 and allowing 24.0. That's an 11.5-point scoring edge for Dallas. The Buccaneers are 0-3 ATS and have lost seven straight games dating back to last season. They're also missing Antoine Winfield Jr. on defense, which matters against a Dallas offense that's putting up points in bunches.
Yes, Dallas has six players out or doubtful, including Tyler Smith and DeMarvion Overshown. That's why the line isn't -10. But the Cowboys have a +5 turnover edge, and Tampa Bay is starting a backup quarterback. The Buccaneers have covered zero spreads this season. Zero. The Cowboys have covered both of theirs.
The total has dropped from 52.5 to 47.5, which tells you the market expects a lower-scoring game. That actually helps Dallas. A lower total means fewer possessions, and the Cowboys' scoring edge becomes more valuable. Tampa Bay isn't built to come from behind, especially without Mayfield.
MyBookie.ag has Dallas -8 at -110. BetUS is offering -9 at +105, which is a worse number for the same side. BetOnline.ag has -8 at -103, but MyBookie is the standard -110 and the most reliable out. Bovada is at -7.5, but you're paying -115 for the half-point, which isn't worth it. Take the -8 at MyBookie.ag and don't overthink it.
The Buccaneers are winless, banged up, and starting a backup quarterback. The Cowboys are covering spreads and scoring points. This is a 4/5 confidence play for a reason. Lay the points.

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Odds as of Oct 7, 1:22 PM ET — lines may have moved

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