Predators +1.5 vs Senators. Two straight head-to-head wins and a banged-up Ottawa roster.

The God of Odds likes the Nashville Predators +1.5 at +140, and Bovada is the place to hammer it. The Predators are a perfect 3-0 against the spread this season, and they're catching an Ottawa team that's missing nine regulars to injury. That's not a market inefficiency. That's a gift.

Start with the head-to-head. Nashville has beaten Ottawa twice in a row, including a 4-1 road win on October 13. The Predators know they can win in this building, and they know they can win by multiple goals. When you're getting +1.5 on a team that's already proven it can handle the opponent, you take it.

Ottawa's injury report is brutal. William Eklund, Artem Zub, Andre Burakovsky, Kurtis MacDermid, Dennis Gilbert, Thomas Chabot, Jake Sanderson, Lassi Thomson, and Nick Jensen are all out or doubtful. That's three of their top six defensemen. That's a forward group missing two key pieces. The Senators are 3-1, but that record was built with a healthy roster. This is not a healthy roster.

Nashville's only injury concern is Justus Annunen, a backup goaltender. That's a manageable loss. The Predators are 2-1-1 overall, 1-0 on the road, and they're scoring 3.0 goals per game. They've covered in every game they've played. Ottawa is 1-0 at home, but that was with a full lineup. The Senators are also just 1-0 on the moneyline at home, meaning they haven't been tested in this spot.

The line movement tells the story. The moneyline opened at -166 and moved to -160, which means sharp money is coming in on Nashville. The spread hasn't moved, but the moneyline has. That's a signal. The public sees Ottawa's 3-1 record and thinks the Senators are the play. The sharps see the injury report and the head-to-head history and they're betting the other way.

Bovada is offering +140 on the Predators +1.5. That's the best price on the board. BetOnline is at +139, BetUS is at +138, and MyBookie is at +130. If you're betting this game, you're betting it at Bovada. The extra 10 cents on the dollar matters over the long run.

This is a 3-out-of-5 confidence play. The Predators are the right side. The price is right. The spot is right. Take Nashville +1.5 at +140 on Bovada.