Senators +1.5 at Devils. The better team is getting the points.

The God of Odds likes the Ottawa Senators +1.5 at +111, and Bovada is the place to hammer it. You're getting the better team plus a goal and a half at plus money. That's not a gift, that's a mistake the market hasn't corrected yet.

Ottawa is 4-1 on the season and 2-1 on the road. They're scoring 3.0 goals per game and allowing just 2.2. New Jersey sits at 2-2, scoring 2.5 and giving back 3.5. The Devils are 0-2 against the spread. Ottawa is 1-1 and 2-0 on the moneyline. When you're backing a team that wins outright more often than not, taking the puck line plus a goal and a half is simply the smarter way to price it.

The real separator is in net. Ottawa's .923 save percentage against New Jersey's .872 is a canyon. The Devils are leaking goals, and the Senators are stopping them. Yes, Ottawa is banged up with eight names out or doubtful, including Thomas Chabot, Jake Sanderson, and Artem Zub on the blue line. That's a real concern. But New Jersey is missing six of their own, including Brett Pesce and Connor Brown. Both sides are thin. The difference is Ottawa has been winning anyway, with a 4-1 record and a 7-2 run across their last nine. The Devils have been alternating wins and losses all year, and they just dropped two of their last three.

One note on sample size: Ottawa has only played four games, so the full signal weight isn't there yet. But the early returns are loud. They're the more complete team, they're getting a goal and a half, and the price is plus money.

Bovada has the best number at +112 on the moneyline and +111 on the spread. BetUS is close at +105, but Bovada is the clear winner. Take the Senators +1.5 and don't overthink it. The better team is getting points. That's the whole play.