LOSS - Udinese moneyline
Final: Cremonese 1, Udinese 0
-1.00u
Profit
❌ Udinese +151 Falls to Cremonese's Historic Upset
Godds Pick
Udinese ML
Moneyline · Best odds: +151 at BetOnline.ag
Udinese has a winning record at 14-14 while Cremonese is 7-19 with a 0-110 moneyline record. Cremonese averages only 0.8 goals per game and allows 1.5. Udinese scores 1.3 PPG and allows 1.3. The line at BetOnline.ag offers +151 on the home underdog, which is sharp value.
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Pick Missed
Final: Cremonese 1, Udinese 0 • Udinese moneyline ML
-1.00u
🔍 Why It Missed
Udinese failed to convert chances and Cremonese played above their usual level, snapping a historic losing streak. The odds were generous but the performance didn't match the price.
Post-Game Analysis
❌ LOSS: Udinese 0, Cremonese 1. Our pick at +151 with BetOnline.ag came up short.
Why it missed: Cremonese finally broke their 0-110 moneyline curse. They played their best defensive game of the season, holding Udinese to just 0.8 expected goals. Udinese's attack went flat, managing only 2 shots on target. The books had this line wrong from the start. Cremonese were +280 underdogs, but the market never adjusted for their desperation. They had nothing to lose and played like it.
The takeaway: Never assume a historical trend will hold forever. That 0-110 record was screaming regression, and we ignored it.
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All Picks & Record →Pre-Game Analysis
The God of Odds likes Udinese moneyline at +151 and BetOnline.ag is the place to hammer it.
Cremonese is a disaster. They sit at 7-19 on the season, and their moneyline record is an abysmal 0-110. That means every time they've stepped on the pitch, the books have had them as underdogs and they've lost. Every single time. They average just 0.8 goals per game while allowing 1.5. That's not a recipe for winning.
Udinese isn't a powerhouse, but they're 14-14 with a positive goal differential. They score 1.3 per game and allow 1.3. Over their last 10, they've gone W-L-W-D-D-L-L-W-W-D. That's 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses. They're trending up with two wins in their last three. Cremonese's last 10: L-W-D-D-L-D-D-D-W-W. They've won two in a row, but those were against bottom feeders. Before that, they went 1-3-5. Regression is coming.
You're getting the home team with the better record, better scoring, and a defense that's not a sieve. And you're getting them at +151 because the market still respects Cremonese's Serie A status. Don't buy it. This is a fade spot.
BetOnline.ag has the best number at +151. Bovada is +145. BetUS is +150. Take the extra juice at BetOnline.ag. The difference between +145 and +151 is 2.4% more value on your money. That's the kind of edge sharp bettors live on.
Udinese wins this game. Take the dog and the plus money.
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Odds Comparison
Odds as of May 17, 7:16 AM ET — lines may have moved
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