WINNER - AS Roma moneyline
Final: Fiorentina 0, AS Roma 4
+0.61u
Profit
✅ AS Roma Moneyline Hits: Fiorentina's 10-Game Winless Streak Was No Joke
Godds Pick
AS Roma ML
Moneyline · Best odds: -163 at LowVig.ag
AS Roma has a dominant 19-11 record and strong recent form at 7-3 in their last 10, while Fiorentina is in poor form at 0-4-6 in their last 10. The ML line has moved favorably for Roma, and they're the clear side backed by data.
Bet at LowVig.ag →Community Pulse
Pick Cashed
Final: Fiorentina 0, AS Roma 4 • AS Roma moneyline ML
+0.61u
⚡ Why It Hit
Fiorentina's 0-4-6 form in their last 10 was unsustainable, and Roma's 7-3 record was the real deal. Roma dominated from start to finish, covering the moneyline with ease.
Post-Game Analysis
✅ WIN: AS Roma 4, Fiorentina 0. Our moneyline pick at -163 cashed with authority.
Fiorentina's 0-4-6 run in their last 10 was no fluke. They couldn't handle Roma's press, and the scoreline shows it. Roma's 7-3 record in their last 10 wasn't just noise. They came to play, and Fiorentina folded. The -163 line at LowVig was the sharp play, and it paid off.
The takeaway: When a team has zero wins in 10 games, don't overthink it. Fade them until they prove otherwise.
The God of Odds delivers again.
All Picks & Record →Pre-Game Analysis
The God of Odds likes AS Roma on the moneyline at -163, and LowVig is the place to hammer it.
Fiorentina is a mess. They're 8-13 overall, and their last 10 games read like a horror show: 0 wins, 4 draws, 6 losses. That's right, zero wins in their last 10. They're allowing 1.3 goals per game while scoring just 1.1. And somehow their moneyline record is 19-0? That stat has to be a typo, but even so, they're not winning games.
AS Roma, on the other hand, is sitting at 19-11 with a 7-3 record in their last 10. They score 1.4 goals per game and allow only 0.9. That's a +0.5 goal differential that screams control. They've been trading wins and losses but have won 7 of their last 10, including a recent stretch of W-W-W-L-W-W. They're the better team, playing at home, against a side that can't buy a win.
The line movement backs this up. Roma opened around -160 and has held steady or moved slightly to -163 at LowVig. That's sharp money staying on the favorite, not fading them. When the market agrees with the form and the record, you listen.
LowVig has the best price at -163. Bovada and BetUS are at -168, which is a 5-cent tax for no reason. Don't pay it. Take the -163 at LowVig and get the best value on a team that should win this game comfortably. Fiorentina hasn't shown any pulse in weeks. Roma has. Bet the favorite.

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Odds Comparison
Odds as of May 3, 4:45 AM ET — lines may have moved

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