AS Roma -163 vs Fiorentina. Fading the worst team in Serie A.

The God of Odds likes AS Roma on the moneyline at -163, and LowVig is the place to hammer it.

Fiorentina is a mess. They're 8-13 overall, and their last 10 games read like a horror show: 0 wins, 4 draws, 6 losses. That's right, zero wins in their last 10. They're allowing 1.3 goals per game while scoring just 1.1. And somehow their moneyline record is 19-0? That stat has to be a typo, but even so, they're not winning games.

AS Roma, on the other hand, is sitting at 19-11 with a 7-3 record in their last 10. They score 1.4 goals per game and allow only 0.9. That's a +0.5 goal differential that screams control. They've been trading wins and losses but have won 7 of their last 10, including a recent stretch of W-W-W-L-W-W. They're the better team, playing at home, against a side that can't buy a win.

The line movement backs this up. Roma opened around -160 and has held steady or moved slightly to -163 at LowVig. That's sharp money staying on the favorite, not fading them. When the market agrees with the form and the record, you listen.

LowVig has the best price at -163. Bovada and BetUS are at -168, which is a 5-cent tax for no reason. Don't pay it. Take the -163 at LowVig and get the best value on a team that should win this game comfortably. Fiorentina hasn't shown any pulse in weeks. Roma has. Bet the favorite.