Juventus +129 hosts Napoli, and the money is running the other way.
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: Juventus (moneyline +129)
- Market probability (margin removed): Juventus 42%, Draw 29%, Napoli 29%
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- Juventus +130 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Draw +230 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
- Napoli +239 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
Draw No Bet
- Juventus -166 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Napoli +136 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
Juventus and Napoli arrive level on points, 4-2-3 apiece, and the market still hands the home side the favorite's tag. Juventus sits at +129 on the moneyline. Strip out the margin and the market prices this Juventus 42%, Draw 29%, Napoli 29%. Two teams with identical records, one priced as the favorite. That gap is the whole story of this match.
Juventus has the case for the home side. A 2-game win streak and a defense allowing 1.1 per game give the home crowd something to stand behind. The last 10 reads L-W-L-D-W-L-D-W-W-L, a side that trades wins for losses but keeps games tight. Juventus keeps the scoreline low and lets the match come to it. That's the argument for the favorite.
Napoli's argument is louder on paper. 1.9 goals per game against 1.2 allowed is the best scoring output in this matchup, and a 6-2 moneyline record says this team cashes for its backers more often than not. The last 10 shows W-D-L-W-D-W-L-L-W-W, a run with more wins than Juventus has strung together. Napoli scores more and has the better moneyline record. The road price reflects none of that.
The line tells you where the money went. Juventus opened -120 and drifted all the way to +129, sharp money on Napoli. Best price on Juventus is +130 at Bovada. Draw sits at +230 at BetAnything, Napoli at +239 at BetAnything. On Draw No Bet, Juventus is -166 at Bovada, Napoli +136 at BetAnything.
GODDS has no pick here. No side reaches 70% in its model, and the market agrees this one is close. Whatever your read, the best number is on the board.
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Odds Comparison
DNB (Draw No Bet): a draw returns the stake. Each book's from its own prices for the team and the draw: the price of the two bets that make it there.
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Oct 31, 11:41 AM ET. Lines may have moved.
Napoli vs Juventus: FAQ
Who is favored in Napoli vs Juventus?+
Juventus: +129 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 42%.
What are the best odds for Napoli vs Juventus?+
When this analysis was written: Juventus +130 at Bovada, Draw +230 at BetAnything and Napoli +239 at BetAnything on the moneyline; Juventus -166 at Bovada and Napoli +136 at BetAnything on the Draw No Bet. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
Does GODDS have a pick for Napoli vs Juventus?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
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