Frosinone +115 at home vs Torino, and the line is moving.
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: Frosinone (moneyline +115)
- Market probability (margin removed): Frosinone 45%, Draw 25%, Torino 31%
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- Frosinone +116 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
- Draw +295 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Torino +217 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
Draw No Bet
- Frosinone -165 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
- Torino +136 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
Frosinone hosts Torino on Sunday with the market calling it close. The moneyline sits at +115 for Frosinone, with Torino at +217 and the draw at +295. When the vig is stripped out, the implied probabilities land at 45% Frosinone, 25% draw, 31% Torino. That's a game the market sees as a coin flip with a lean, not a mismatch.
Frosinone's case is built on scoring and form. They're putting up 2.4 goals per game while allowing 1.6, and their last ten reads W-D-W-L-W-D-W-W-L-W. They've won three of their four moneyline decisions, and they're home. The one blemish is a single-game losing streak, but the body of work is strong.
Torino's case is resilience and balance. They're 4-1-4 on the year, scoring 1.6 and allowing 1.6 per game. Their last ten is rockier at L-W-W-W-D-L-W-L-L-L, and they're riding a two-game losing streak. But they've cashed four of seven moneyline decisions, and they've shown they can grind out results on the road. The price reflects the risk.
The number has moved. Frosinone opened at +125 and is now +115, a clear signal that sharp money is on the home side. Best price on Frosinone is +116 at BetAnything, while Torino's best is +217 at BetAnything and the draw's best is +295 at Bovada. In Draw No Bet, Frosinone is -165 at BetAnything and Torino is +136 at BetAnything.
GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches the 70% threshold in the model. If you have a read, the best numbers are on the board.
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Odds Comparison
DNB (Draw No Bet): a draw returns the stake. Each book's from its own prices for the team and the draw: the price of the two bets that make it there.
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Oct 31, 11:41 AM ET. Lines may have moved.
Torino vs Frosinone: FAQ
Who is favored in Torino vs Frosinone?+
Frosinone: +115 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 45%.
What are the best odds for Torino vs Frosinone?+
When this analysis was written: Frosinone +116 at BetAnything, Draw +295 at Bovada and Torino +217 at BetAnything on the moneyline; Frosinone -165 at BetAnything and Torino +136 at BetAnything on the Draw No Bet. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
Does GODDS have a pick for Torino vs Frosinone?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
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