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Galatasaray +120 at home against Stuttgart. The market stays split.

VfB Stuttgart@Galatasaray

GODDSGODDS Analysis

No pick

No GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →

The market

  • Favorite: Galatasaray (moneyline +116)
  • Market probability (margin removed): Galatasaray 44%, Draw 23%, VfB Stuttgart 33%

Best prices when this analysis was written

Moneyline

Draw No Bet

Galatasaray hosts VfB Stuttgart on Tuesday and the market refuses to crown anyone. The moneyline sits at +116 for the home side, with the draw at +321 and Stuttgart at +197. Strip out the margin and the market says Galatasaray 44%, Draw 23%, VfB Stuttgart 33%. That's a favorite priced like a coin flip, and the gap between the two sides is thinner than the prices suggest.

Galatasaray's case is simple: 3.0 goals per game and a W-L-W run over its last three. The home side scores, and it scores enough to keep the draw and the away side in the conversation. The moneyline at +120 isn't a number that scares anyone off, but it's also not a number that claims this team runs the group.

Stuttgart's case is louder. 7.0 goals per game and a T-W in its last two. That's a scoring rate that forces the market to respect the away side even at +197. The goals are there. The question is whether they travel against a Galatasaray team that has its own scoring punch.

The number has moved. Galatasaray opened around +114 at BetOnline.ag and BetAnything and now sits at +116 on the market line, with +120 at Bovada the best available price. The draw is +322 at BetAnything, and Stuttgart is +197 at BetUS. On Draw No Bet, Galatasaray is -149 at BetUS, Stuttgart +126 at BetUS. The market hasn't picked a side, and neither should you feel forced to.

GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in the model. If you have a read, the best number is waiting: Galatasaray +120 at Bovada, Draw +322 at BetAnything, Stuttgart +197 at BetUS.

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Odds Comparison

SportsbookStuttgartDrawGalatasarayDNB StuttgartDNB Galatasaray
BetUS+321
Bovada+300
BetOnline.ag+322
BetAnything+322
Pinnacle (sharp line) fair+206+334+126+136-136

DNB (Draw No Bet): a draw returns the stake. Each book's from its own prices for the team and the draw: the price of the two bets that make it there.

Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.

Odds as of Nov 2, 3:09 PM ET. Lines may have moved.

VfB Stuttgart vs Galatasaray: FAQ

Who is favored in VfB Stuttgart vs Galatasaray?+

Galatasaray: +116 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 44%.

What are the best odds for VfB Stuttgart vs Galatasaray?+

When this analysis was written: Galatasaray +120 at Bovada, Draw +322 at BetAnything and VfB Stuttgart +197 at BetUS on the moneyline; Galatasaray -149 at BetUS and VfB Stuttgart +126 at BetUS on the Draw No Bet. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.

Does GODDS have a pick for VfB Stuttgart vs Galatasaray?+

No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.

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