Crystal Palace -105 at home to Hoffenheim. The market sees a coin flip.

Crystal Palace hosts TSG Hoffenheim in the Europa League on Thursday, and the market is split. Palace is the favorite at -105 on the moneyline, but the margin-removed probability puts them at just 49%. The draw sits at 24% and Hoffenheim at 27%. That's not a number that screams conviction from either side.

Palace's case is simple: they score. 4.0 goals per game is a real number, and they've shown they can put the ball in the net even when the results haven't been perfect. The L-W in their last two games shows they bounce back. At home, with that scoring rate, they have a path to outscore Hoffenheim.

Hoffenheim's argument is just as clear. They score 3.0 goals per game themselves. That's not a team that gets shut down easily. Yes, they lost their last game, but one result doesn't define them. The +268 on the moneyline and +176 on the draw no bet tell you the market respects their ability to find the net. If both teams score, this becomes a track meet, and Hoffenheim's price gives them room to run.

The line has held steady. BetUS has Palace at -105, the best price on the board, while Bovada and BetOnline.ag sit at -110 and -107. The draw is +301 at BetUS, and Hoffenheim is +268 there too. On the draw no bet, BetUS offers Palace at -215 and Hoffenheim at +176, both the best available among the books listed.

GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches the 70% threshold in the model. If you have a read, the best numbers are at BetUS across every market.