Lorient +113 at Metz: Fading the worst team in Ligue 1

The God of Odds likes Lorient ML at +113 and BetOnline.ag is the place to hammer it. This is a fade of the worst team in Ligue 1, and the numbers back it up.

Metz sits at 3-22 this season. That's not a typo. They average 1.0 goal per game while allowing 2.3. Their moneyline record? 0-113. They simply do not win. Lorient, on the other hand, is 10-10 with a scoring average of 1.4 PPG and just 1.5 allowed. They've shown they can compete, and against a team like Metz, they should have the edge.

The line movement tells the story. The opener had Lorient around +108, and it's now climbed to +113 at BetOnline.ag. That's sharp money moving toward the dog. When the market pushes a price up on a team with a winning record against a 3-22 squad, you pay attention.

Lorient's recent form is mixed, but they've managed wins in 2 of their last 10, while Metz has just 1 win in that span. The gap in class is obvious. Metz can't score, can't defend, and can't win. Lorient has the better offense and defense, and they're getting plus money.

BetOnline.ag offers the best price at +113, a full 5 cents better than the market consensus. That's a no-brainer. Lock in Lorient to win outright and fade the worst team in France.