LOSS - Los Angeles Dodgers moneyline
Final: Arizona Diamondbacks 9, Los Angeles Dodgers 2
-1.00u
Profit
❌ Dodgers Moneyline at -265: A Night to Forget
Godds Pick
Los Angeles Dodgers ML
Moneyline · Best odds: -265 at LowVig.ag
Dodgers are 61-34 with a dominant home record (31-17) and a 3.50 ERA vs Arizona's 4.25. The Diamondbacks are .500 on the season and missing three key relievers. Sharp money moved the ML from -260 to -265, signaling confidence.
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Pick Missed
Final: Arizona Diamondbacks 9, Los Angeles Dodgers 2 • Los Angeles Dodgers moneyline ML
-1.00u
🔍 Why It Missed
The Dodgers' starter, Jack Flaherty, had a terrible outing, allowing 6 earned runs. Arizona's offense was hot, and the Dodgers couldn't keep up. Sometimes a -265 favorite just gets beat.
Post-Game Analysis
❌ LOSS: Arizona Diamondbacks 9, Los Angeles Dodgers 2. The Dodgers got absolutely shelled at home. Jack Flaherty allowed 6 earned runs in 5.2 innings. The bullpen didn't help. Arizona's offense exploded for 9 runs on 13 hits. Our pick was based on the Dodgers' superior run differential and home record, but baseball is a sport where any team can win on a given night. The Diamondbacks' banged-up bullpen didn't matter because their starter went deep. This loss stings, but it doesn't change the Dodgers' long-term value. They're still a top-tier team. We'll be back on them when the price is right.
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The God of Odds likes the Los Angeles Dodgers moneyline at -265, and LowVig.ag is the place to hammer it.
The Dodgers are 61-34 for a reason. They score 5.3 runs per game and allow just 3.6. At home, they're 31-17. The Diamondbacks are 47-47 and 20-27 on the road, allowing 4.5 runs per game. Their ERA is 4.25, a full three quarters of a run worse than the Dodgers' 3.50.
Arizona's bullpen is banged up. Derek Law, Kyle Amendt, and Tommy Henry are all out or doubtful. That's three arms the Diamondbacks were counting on. The Dodgers have been steady, going 6-4 in their last 10 with wins in four of their last five. Their moneyline record at home is 19-14.
The market agrees with us. The moneyline opened at -260 and has been pushed to -265. That's sharp money coming in on the Dodgers. The total moved from 8.5 to 9, suggesting books expect runs, which favors the better offense.
Don't overthink this. The Dodgers are the better team, at home, against a .500 opponent with a depleted pen. The line is fair, and LowVig has the best price at -265. That's where you get the most value.
Lock it in. Dodgers win outright.

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Odds Comparison
Odds as of Jul 11, 5:58 PM ET — lines may have moved

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