Detroit Tigers ML vs Red Sox: Home dominance meets banged-up Boston

The God of Odds likes the Detroit Tigers on the moneyline at -177, and LowVig.ag is the place to hammer it.

Detroit is a completely different animal at Comerica Park. They're 12-3 at home this season, scoring 4.5 runs per game while allowing just 4.0. That home record is no fluke. The Tigers have been winning outright all year, as their 182-137 moneyline record proves. They've gone 6-4 in their last 10 games, showing they're heating up at the right time.

Boston comes in with a losing record (16-18) and a mediocre 9-10 mark on the road. The Red Sox are allowing 4.7 runs per game, and they'll be without two key infielders: Tim Elko (1B) and Brendan Rodgers (2B) are both out or doubtful. That's a major blow to their defense and lineup depth. The Tigers took 2 of 3 in Boston earlier this month, and now they get the Sox at home with a clear edge.

The line hasn't moved much, but that's fine. The sharp money already priced the Tigers correctly. At -177, you're getting a 64% implied probability on a team that wins 12 of 15 at home. That's value, plain and simple.

LowVig.ag offers the best price on Detroit at -177. BetOnline and BetUS also have -177, but LowVig gives you the best value on the other side too if you want to hedge. Don't overthink this. The Tigers are the better team, at home, against a banged-up opponent. Lay the juice and collect.