Yankees -112 vs Red Sox. The market is wrong about this one.

The God of Odds likes the New York Yankees on the moneyline at -112, and BetOnline.ag is the place to hammer it at -111.

Look, I get it. The moneyline moved from -133 to -112. Sharp money is on Boston. But that's exactly why this is a value spot. The Yankees are 37-26 overall with an 18-12 home record. They're allowing just 3.6 runs per game, backed by a 3.30 ERA. Meanwhile, the Red Sox are 33-30 and a miserable 13-19 on the road. Their ERA sits at 4.32, a full run worse.

Recent form tells the same story. New York went 6-4 in their last 10, with three of those wins coming by multiple runs. Boston also went 6-4, but they're 4-6 in their last 10 on the road. And here's the kicker: the Red Sox have four players listed as out or doubtful, including infielders Brendan Rodgers and Tim Elko. That's a lot of missing production against a Yankees team that scores 5.0 per game.

The line movement is noise. The Yankees are the better team with the better pitcher at home. When you get a favorite like this at -112, you don't overthink it.

Now for the edge. BetOnline.ag has the Yankees at -111, the best price on the board. Bovada and MyBookie.ag are at -117, which is worse. A six-cent difference doesn't sound huge, but on a high-confidence play like this, it adds up. Lock in the best number at BetOnline.ag and let the Yankees do the rest.