LOSS - Chicago Cubs moneyline
Final: Chicago Cubs 2, Baltimore Orioles 3
-1.00u
Profit
❌ Cubs +112 Falls Short: Orioles Snap Slump at Home
Godds Pick
Chicago Cubs ML
Moneyline · Best odds: +112 at BetUS
The Cubs are 52-40 overall with a winning road record (25-21), while the Orioles are 42-51 and losers of 4 of their last 5. Baltimore's moneyline record is poor (1395-1573) and they're missing key players Luis Vazquez and Keagan Gillies. BetUS offers the best price at +112.
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Pick Missed
Final: Chicago Cubs 2, Baltimore Orioles 3 • Chicago Cubs moneyline ML
-1.00u
🔍 Why It Missed
The Cubs' offense went cold, scoring only 2 runs against a struggling Orioles pitching staff. Baltimore snapped their losing streak behind a strong bullpen performance. The line movement toward Baltimore at BetUS was a red flag we missed.
Post-Game Analysis
❌ LOSS: Cubs fall 2-3 to the Orioles, our +112 moneyline pick misses.
We trusted the Cubs' superior record and road form, but the Orioles' bats showed up when it mattered. Baltimore's recent 1-9 slide suggested a dead team, but they found life at home. The Cubs managed only 2 runs, well below their 5.1 average, and the bullpen couldn't hold the tie in the 7th. BetUS had the Cubs at +112, but the line movement toward Baltimore (+105 at open to -115 at first pitch) hinted at sharp money on the O's. We ignored that shift, and it cost us.
This loss proves that recent form isn't everything when a team is due for a regression. The Orioles were too talented to stay in that slump, and the market knew it. Next time, we respect line movement more, especially when a bad team gets sudden support.
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All Picks & Record →Pre-Game Analysis
The God of Odds likes the Chicago Cubs on the moneyline at +112, and BetUS is the place to hammer it.
Let's keep this simple. The Cubs are 52-40 this season with a 25-21 record on the road. They're scoring 5.1 runs per game while allowing 4.5. Meanwhile, the Orioles are 42-51 and just 24-25 at home. Baltimore has lost four of their last five games, and their recent form is a mess: L-L-L-L-W-W-W-L-L-L. That's six losses in their last ten.
Now look at the moneyline records. Chicago sits at 1435-719, which tells you they win outright more often than not. Baltimore? 1395-1573. That's a losing record over a huge sample. The Orioles are also dealing with injuries: shortstop Luis Vazquez and pitcher Keagan Gillies are both out or doubtful. The Cubs only have one bullpen arm sidelined in Brandon Birdsell. That's a clear edge for Chicago.
The line hasn't moved much, but that's fine. We're getting plus money on a team that's simply better. The Cubs have gone 8-2 in their last ten games. They're hot. Baltimore is not. Fading the favorite here is the sharp play.
For the best price, head to BetUS. They're offering the Cubs at +112, which is the highest you'll find. Bovada and MyBookie are at +106. That six cents of difference matters. Lock in the Cubs on the moneyline and let the better team cash your ticket.
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Odds Comparison
Odds as of Jul 9, 12:25 PM ET — lines may have moved
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