Red Sox +112 vs Cubs. The dog barks at Fenway tonight.

The God of Odds likes Boston Red Sox +112 on the moneyline against the Chicago Cubs, and BetOnline.ag is the place to hammer it. The market is handing you a home dog with the better pitcher and the better team ERA. Take the gift.

Alec Gamboa gets the ball for Boston, and he's been nearly untouchable. A 1.16 ERA and a 1-0 record in his starts is the kind of number that wins games by itself. Chicago counters with Clay Holmes, who's fine at 3.25, but he's 6-8 for a reason: the Cubs don't give him enough support when it matters.

That shows up in the team numbers. Boston's staff owns a 3.55 ERA; Chicago's sits at 4.15. That's a half-run gap per nine innings, and in a game with a 6.5 total, one run is the whole margin. The Red Sox also cover at a 59% clip (36-25-0 ATS), proof this team outperforms expectations more often than not.

Yes, Boston is 3-5 in its last five and just dropped three of four on the current slate. That's exactly why the price is +112 instead of -110. The market overreacts to short slumps. Meanwhile, the Cubs have lost two of their last three and are without reliever Brandon Birdsell, thinning a bullpen that has to cover innings behind Holmes.

Boston's injury list shows Willson Contreras out at first base, but the lineup has absorbed that hit and still sits at 85-74 on the year. The Cubs are 88-71 with a 42-36 road mark, respectable but not intimidating. This is a coin-flip game priced like Chicago has an edge it doesn't own.

The best number on the board is +112 at BetOnline.ag. MyBookie and Bovada are hanging +104 to +106, and BetUS is at +112 but with less reliable liquidity. Take the top price. The God of Odds sees Boston winning this one outright, and at plus money, that's the only side worth touching.