Astros +107 at Padres. The market is sleeping on Houston again.

The God of Odds likes the Houston Astros on the moneyline at +107. And BetUS is the place to hammer it. The Padres are the public side, but the sharp money says otherwise. The line has moved from -123 to -117 on San Diego, which means the pros are backing Houston. You should too.

Houston is 60-58 on the season, and they're 30-29 on the road. That's not elite, but it's solid. They're scoring 4.6 runs per game while allowing 4.8. The Padres are scoring 4.2 and allowing 4.3. The Astros have the better offense, and they've been covering at a 59% clip ATS. Their moneyline record is 20-13. That's a team that wins more often than the market expects.

Now look at San Diego. They're 61-57, but they're missing Yu Darvish and Matt Waldron. Two key starters out. That's a massive blow to a rotation that already has a 4.18 ERA. The Padres have been inconsistent, going L-W-W-W-L-W-L-W-L-W in their last 10. Houston has been better, with a W-W-W-W-W-L-W-L-W-L stretch. The Astros are the hotter team, and they're getting plus money.

The total has moved from 8.5 to 9, which suggests the books expect runs. That favors Houston's offense. But we're not here for the total. We're here for the moneyline. And at +107, BetUS is giving you the best price. BetOnline and LowVig have it at +106. Take the extra dollar. The Astros are the play, and the Padres are the fade. Confidence is 4 out of 5. This is a strong play.