Colorado Rockies +134 vs Mets: Fade the banged-up favorite

The God of Odds likes the Colorado Rockies on the moneyline at +134 and LowVig.ag is the place to hammer it.

The Mets are a mess. They're 11-22 overall, 5-10 on the road, and have seven key players on the injury list including Ronny Mauricio and Mike Tauchman. Their ATS record is a laughable 10-162, meaning they cover spreads just 6% of the time. Meanwhile, Colorado has won three of the last four head-to-head meetings, including two straight at home. The Rockies' .716 OPS dwarfs New York's .629, and they score nearly a run more per game (4.2 to 3.4).

Both teams have losing streaks, but the Mets' issues run deeper. They've lost 5 of their last 10 and can't buy a win on the road. Colorado's home record sits at 7-8, not great, but against a depleted Mets squad, that's more than enough. The line movement has been flat, meaning sharp money hasn't hammered the favorite. That's a red flag for Mets backers.

LowVig.ag offers the best price at +134, a full 9 cents better than the consensus +125 at other books. That's a massive edge on a team that's already undervalued. Don't overthink this. The Mets are banged up, out of form, and overpriced. Take the Rockies and the plus money.