Yankees -118 vs Mets: The best team in New York keeps proving it

The God of Odds likes the New York Yankees moneyline at -116 and BetUS is the place to hammer it. This is a 4/5 confidence play because the numbers are screaming one way and the market hasn't caught up.

The Yankees are 28-17 this season. That's a .622 winning percentage. The Mets are 18-26, which is .409. On the road, New York is 14-11. At home, the Mets are 9-13. These are not close teams.

Look at the advanced numbers. The Yankees have a 3.19 ERA. The Mets are at 3.78. That's a half-run advantage every game. On offense, New York posts a .763 OPS while the Mets manage just .638. That's a massive gap. The Yankees score 5.1 runs per game and allow 3.5. The Mets score 3.7 and allow 4.2. Every category favors the away team.

Injuries are crushing the Mets. They have six players listed as out or doubtful: Robert Stock, Clay Holmes, Mike Tauchman (listed twice), and Grae Kessinger. That's a depleted roster. The Yankees have no such issues.

Yesterday these teams played and the Yankees won 5-2. The head-to-head is 1-0 in favor of New York. Expect more of the same today.

The best moneyline price for the Yankees is -116 at BetUS. Other books have them at -118 or -120. Why take worse odds? BetUS gives you the best number. That's a small edge but it adds up over a season.

This is a simple play. The better team, with the better pitcher, facing a banged-up opponent. The Yankees are the sharp side and the value is clear.