Rays -107 vs Yankees: Home dominance meets Yankees' slide

The God of Odds likes the Tampa Bay Rays on the moneyline at -107, and LowVig is the place to hammer it.

The numbers are impossible to ignore. The Rays are 52-34, with a ridiculous 31-12 mark at Tropicana Field. They score 4.6 runs per game and allow just 4.2. Meanwhile, the Yankees are 49-39 but have lost 8 of their last 10 games. Their road record is 26-20, but they're limping into this series.

Head-to-head, the Rays have owned the Yankees this season. In three meetings in April, Tampa Bay won all three: 5-3, 5-4, and 5-4. That's four straight wins dating back to last year. The Yankees' bullpen is shaky, and their offense has gone cold. The Rays' pitching, with a 3.76 ERA, should keep New York in check.

The only injury concern for Tampa Bay is reliever Austin Vernon, but that's not enough to dent their depth. The line hasn't moved much, which tells me the market is pricing this fairly. But at -107, there's value on the better team at home.

LowVig has the Rays at -107, tied with BetOnline and BetUS but offering the best price among the sharp books. Bovada has them at -121, which is a waste. Lock in the Rays at LowVig and let the home crowd do the rest.