Yankees -185 vs Nationals: Four injured pitchers make this a no-brainer

The God of Odds likes the New York Yankees moneyline at -185 and BetOnline.ag is the place to hammer it.

The Yankees walk into Washington with a 52-42 record and a 29-22 mark on the road. They've been inconsistent lately, going 4-6 in their last 10, but the underlying numbers tell a different story. Their team ERA sits at 3.40, a full run and a half better than the Nationals' 4.76. That's the kind of edge you bet on, not overthink.

Now look at the Nationals. They're 48-47 overall, but just 20-29 at home. Their moneyline record is 24-33, meaning they lose more often than they win outright. And here's the kicker: four pitchers are out or doubtful. Joan Adon, Tyler Stuart, Jarlin Susana, and Travis Sykora are all unavailable. That's a decimated pitching staff against a Yankees lineup that averages 4.8 runs per game.

Yes, the Nationals took 3 of 5 in the season series, but that was back in April. The Yankees are the better team on paper, and the injuries to Washington's rotation make this an even stronger play. The implied win probability of 65% is fair, but I'd put it higher given the circumstances.

For the best price, head to BetOnline.ag. They're offering the Yankees at -185, which is the best available line. LowVig and BetUS also have -185, but BetOnline's juice is cleaner. Don't overcomplicate this. The Yankees are the better team, the Nationals are banged up, and the price is right. Lock it in.