St. Louis Cardinals -123 vs Padres: Three key injuries make this a no-brainer

The God of Odds likes the St. Louis Cardinals on the moneyline at -123 and BetOnline.ag is the place to hammer it. This isn't complicated. The Cardinals are 40-31 on the season and 21-16 at home. They're averaging 4.6 runs per game while allowing 4.4. Meanwhile, the Padres are 37-35 and have lost two of their last three. But the real story is San Diego's injury report. Yu Darvish and Matt Waldron are both listed as out or doubtful. That's two starting pitchers missing from a staff that's already middling. The Cardinals have taken 3 of the last 5 meetings between these teams, including a 6-0 shutout on May 9. The line has held steady at -123 at BetOnline.ag, which is the best price available. You're getting a home favorite with a winning record against a banged-up opponent. That's the kind of spot you back without overthinking it. The Cardinals have covered 57% of their games ATS this season. They're 4-5 in their last 5 but that includes wins in 3 of their last 4. The Padres are 2-3 in their last 5 and their offense is averaging just 3.8 runs per game. With Darvish and Waldron out, the Padres bullpen will be stretched thin. St. Louis has the OPS edge too: .721 to .648. That's a real gap. The books are pricing this correctly but the injuries tilt the value toward the Cardinals. BetOnline.ag has the best moneyline price at -123. Lock it in before the public catches on.